Amazon Prime Badge: How Sellers Can Optimize SFP Performance in 2025
In this article
7 minutes
Seller Fulfilled Prime sounds like freedom on paper, but in reality, it’s THE toughest performance program in ecommerce. In 2025, keeping the Amazon Prime badge is a high-wire act; one late order, one canceled shipment, and the entire badge (and Buy Box visibility with it) can vanish. For Amazon sellers, the Prime badge isn’t just a logo; it’s shorthand for trust, speed, and credibility with millions of Prime customers. And Amazon enforces it with razor-sharp precision.
At Cahoot, we see every day how hard it is for sellers to balance those requirements while protecting margins. That’s why it’s worth breaking down what SFP performance really means today, the exact metrics Amazon is tracking, and how smart systems and strategies, not guesswork, are the only way to protect that coveted blue badge.
Why Seller Fulfilled Prime Badge Matters, and Why It’s Tougher in 2025
Prime customers are the holy grail: they convert higher, shop more often, and tolerate almost zero friction. Earning the Prime badge leads to higher sales due to increased visibility and trust among Prime members. Losing your Prime badge means your buy-box performance tanks, and your visibility plummets. In 2025, Amazon is watching you like a hawk: on-time delivery > 93.5%, cancel rate < 0.5%, and a lightning-fast response when a rare issue happens. Maintaining Prime eligibility and Prime status requires consistently meeting these key performance metrics to keep your products available to Prime members.
Here’s the kicker: supply chain disruptions linger, carrier delays still happen, and rate complexity trips sellers up. Amazon has seen Prime delivery complaints surge in early 2025, so they’re policing Seller Fulfilled Prime with more bots and automated reviews. To ensure customer satisfaction and provide excellent customer service, sellers must meet Prime members’ expectations for fast, reliable Prime shipping and quick issue resolution to retain the badge.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyThe Exact SFP Metrics That Make or Break You
Amazon mandates: new 2024 shipping and delivery policies
- On-Time Delivery Rate (OTD): ≥ 93.5% – Ship late, and your badge gets flagged.
- Valid Tracking Rate (VTR): ≥ 99% – missing or late tracking? End of story.
- Pre-Fulfillment Cancel Rate: ≤ 0.5% – every cancel hurts.
- Strict one- and two-day delivery promises across 48 states
- Minimum Product Detail Page Views by product size tier
- 100 minimum shipments per month to even qualify
To qualify for SFP, sellers must have a professional selling account and successfully complete the official trial period, meeting all required metrics.
Note: all across 30-day rolling windows. One bad quarter, and you’re up for manual review, or worse, auto-suspension. Managing shipping costs is also crucial for maintaining compliance with SFP requirements.
How to Nail SFP Performance (Even With Small Team or Lean Ops)
1) Build Speed into Ops, Not Hype
- Batch-pick orders early. Always aim to pack and hand off by midday, not the end of the day, to meet Prime’s fast standards for speedy delivery and fast and reliable shipping.
- Use shipping APIs that auto-prioritize Prime lanes without manual toggles to help ensure reliable shipping practices.
- Monitor ETA cutoffs for your regular carriers and test express backups, as reliable shipping is critical for meeting Amazon’s expectations.
2) Over-Deliver on Tracking
- Auto-push tracking as soon as the label prints.
- Validate tracking format before upload; Amazon bots punish malformed data.
- If your carrier is flaky, add a second provider or backup (especially for rural destinations).
- Implement real-time inventory tracking to ensure accurate order fulfillment and prevent stockouts.
- Monitor customer feedback related to shipping and tracking to quickly identify and resolve any issues.
3) Prevent Cancels like a CEO
- Never “hope it lands.” Hope is not a strategy. Use buffer stock, or auto-route to FBA if you’re under threat.
- Effective inventory management is crucial; monitor your storage space closely to ensure you have enough stock on hand and avoid last-minute cancellations.
- Understanding product category-specific risks can help you anticipate demand fluctuations and prevent stockouts that lead to cancellations.
- If a stock issue comes up, cancel proactively before the SFP badge gets flagged, and contact buyers where possible.
- Watch the “future release risk”; don’t oversell what isn’t in your warehouse yet.
4) Fix Defects Fast
- Set alerts for negative feedback or A-to-Z claims. Address and refund within 24 hours.
- Promptly address customer service inquiries to ensure customer satisfaction and resolve issues before they escalate.
- Monitor customer messages daily and respond within minutes.
- Providing excellent customer service is key to resolving defects and maintaining Prime eligibility.
- If a product causes repeated issues, pause SFP listings on it until the root cause is solved.
5) Use Tools That Ready Your Stack
- Dashboards like Cahoot’s surface SFP metrics in real time, flag at-risk orders, and suggest next actions. Leveraging real-time inventory tracking tools within your fulfillment process helps monitor stock levels, avoid stockouts, and ensure efficient order fulfillment.
- Automate reporting: have OTD, VTR, and cancel funnel dashboards you can glance at before Amazon does. Staying ahead in the competitive landscape requires continuous monitoring and adjustment of your SFP strategies to respond to changes and maintain high performance.
Stretch Goals That Keep You Ahead of the Curve
- Test local courier options in high-risk ZIP codes for same-day assurance.
- Stagger dispatch so that slow zones don’t pile up late-hand opening issues.
- Return workflows: quick pickups with prepaid labels reduce returns drag on ODR.
- Seasonal boosts: plan staff and carrier guarantees for Prime Day and holiday surges.
- Leverage exclusive deals and prime offers during events like Prime Day to boost sales and attract Prime members with special discounts and fast shipping.
- Integrate other sales channels, such as your own website or external marketplaces, to expand reach and maximize SFP performance.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPWhat To Do Monday Morning
- Pull your last 30 days of SFP performance. If any metric is close to thresholds, act immediately.
- Review real-time inventory tracking data to quickly identify potential stockouts or overstock issues.
- Evaluate your fulfillment process for efficiency, ensuring all steps from packing to shipping meet Amazon’s requirements.
- Monitor shipping fees closely to maintain profitability and consider strategies to reduce costs or offer free delivery where possible.
- Confirm courier ETA averages vs. Amazon cutoff times. Adjust the clock.
- Embrace the tool that automates tracking validation and alerts.
- Run test orders to rural areas to audit actual delivery performance.
The Bottom Line
Maintaining the Prime badge via SFP is no mystery, it’s detail and discipline wrapped in speed. The brands that nail it aren’t the fastest; they’re the most consistent. They protect margins because they built structural resilience, not wishful workflows. Be precise, proactive, and responsive, and your Prime badge remains your best badge.
Frequently Asked Questions
How fast must I ship to keep the Prime badge?
Ideally, same-or-next-day pickup with your carrier, aiming for delivery well before the customer sees a “slower shipping” estimate. Late shipments still count, regardless of holidays or weather. Buffer, even one-hour picks help.
What’s the easiest way to avoid tracking-related issues?
Use shipping tools that auto-validate tracking numbers, ensure they follow Amazon’s format, and auto-upload to Seller Central through API. Manual uploads always risk errors or mismatches.
My Amazon cancellation rate is high. How do I fix it?
Inventory buffer. Auto-route to FBA when stock dips. Or proactively cancel orders before they ship and offer a solution. One preventative cancel is better than badge loss.
What should I prioritize for SFP if I’m juggling orders and compliance?
OTD and Page Views. Those two metrics matter more than any other. If both are healthy, minor tracking glitches are usually forgiving.
Can I use multiple carriers for SFP?
Yes, and you probably should. Multi-carrier strategy protects against one carrier’s delays, system outages, or regional slowdowns. Just monitor all carrier performances vigorously.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Shipping Rate Negotiation: Small Businesses Winning Better Rates in 2025Strategy, Cahoot, Shipping and Logistics,
I’ve been talking to small business owners lately, brands pushing $200K/year in shipping, and guess what? They’re getting discounts once reserved for Amazon-level volume. Yep, FedEx and UPS are wooing smaller shippers these days, because parcel volumes are dropping and carriers need your business. That means you can play a smarter game: negotiate shipping rates with data, with options, with confidence, not by chance. Freight rate negotiation is now a strategic process accessible even to smaller shippers, allowing them to secure more favorable rates through preparation and informed discussions.
Let’s dig into how shipping rate negotiation really works. This is not your grandpa’s negotiation; data, technology, market leverage, and clear processes are your weapons. These tools give small businesses a competitive edge in negotiations. And I’ll show you how to use them.
Before we dive in, remember: having a clear shipping strategy is essential to maximizing your negotiation outcomes.
Why Now Is A Sweet Spot for Negotiation
Here’s a little nugget from the Wall Street Journal: FedEx and UPS are now offering meaningful discounts, even to shippers with under $500K in annual spend, because parcel volume has dipped, and they want to woo volume with rates, not rocket fuel. In fact, they dropped ground parcel prices by 2.5% in the latest quarter, thanks to lighter packages and aggressive targeting of small businesses. The main focus of these negotiations is the freight rate, which determines your overall shipping costs.
This matters because you’re not too small anymore. If you can articulate your shipping profile, volume, box size, lane mix, and distance traveled, you’re at the negotiation table. Carriers consider various factors such as volume, box size, and distance traveled when determining your eligibility and leverage. And they’re listening. That’s your edge.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyThe Data Strategy That Will Win You Rates
You can’t negotiate what you can’t measure. That means build a shipping profile:
- Monthly and seasonal volumes
- Average weights, dimensions
- Delivery zones (local vs residential vs international)
- Service mix (Ground, Express)
- Historical surcharges exposure
- Detailed data on shipments and costs
- Historical rates for similar shipments
Providers like TransImpact and Cahoot help you package that data in tables and visuals that carriers understand instantly. These platforms also provide insights into your shipping patterns and costs.
Armed with that, you’re not guessing; you’re showing them they’ll win by giving you better terms, especially when you include carrier performance metrics to strengthen your negotiation position.
Secrets for Smarter Negotiation (Not Just Talking)
When negotiating shipping contracts, understanding what negotiation takes, such as thorough preparation, leveraging accurate data, and understanding carrier priorities, can make a significant difference in your outcomes.
1. Benchmark your rates – See what peers are paying. Use industry groups or public references to position your ask (“My competitor in XYZ is getting 8% off freight, can you match?”). Focus your negotiation efforts on key spend areas to maximize impact.
2. Understand carrier cost logic – Fuel surcharges, DIM weight, remote zones. Knowing these gives you angles to push: “If you waive DIM on a 12-inch item, I can drop 5% overall spend.”
3. Negotiate accessorials separately – Detention fees, address correction, liftgate. Carriers love bundling; you should unbundle.
4. Use multi-carrier leverage – If USPS is cheaper for your light parcels, say so. Let UPS/FedEx know; they don’t like losing lanes to postal networks. Negotiating rates with multiple carriers can help you secure lower rates (more favorable rates) for your shipments.
5. Watch contract terms – Commit to a carrier for a volume guarantee in exchange for a better base rate or waived surcharges. Be crystal clear on the term, volume, and exit right. Negotiate for more favorable terms, including payment terms, service agreements, and volume discounts as part of your long-term agreements.
Always aim for the best possible terms and seek rate reductions where possible to optimize your shipping costs.
Ongoing Tactics That Multiply the Savings
- Rate shop regularly – Rates shift weekly. Monitor and push adjustments mid-contract. Compare multiple carriers and different carriers to secure more competitive rates, leading to significant savings.
- Invoice audits = hidden gold – Use tools or 3PL data to catch surcharges, billing errors, and renegotiate or reclaim them. Auditing shipping invoices helps reduce costs and control shipping expenses.
- Test regional or hybrid carriers – They often undercut national carriers, especially for local or B-city lanes. A/B test them quietly, and consider different transportation modes for a cost-effective way to optimize operating costs.
- Cheaper packaging saves percentage points – Cut DIM weight with smarter materials and save postage with no change to shipping speed.
These ongoing tactics drive cost savings (significant savings) over time. Leveraging technology and process improvements can also streamline operations and enhance shipping operations for even greater efficiency.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPWhen to Walk Away
If your baseline margin is too thin, even a “discounted” rate still kills profit; it’s fine to say no. Your goal isn’t just “save on shipping,” it’s “protect the margin.” Be ready to walk. This can put you in a stronger position during negotiations, especially if you have a deep understanding of your shipping needs and costs before making the decision to walk away. It refocuses carriers on your value, not desperation.
What To Do First Thing Monday
- Pull your last 6 months of shipping data and sketch a profile to identify opportunities for negotiation and cost reduction.
- Use rate-shopping software or Cahoot-like platforms to auto-compare.
- Email your carrier account manager: “Let’s review my T1 rates. I’m seeing aggressive pricing in the market for small shippers.”
- Ask for accessorial waiver proposals or season-based incentives.
- Audit your last month of bills for unexpected surcharges or weight adjustments.
Bottom Line
Your shipping rate negotiation isn’t about volume; it’s about value. You bring well-packaged data, clear lane logic, and a willingness to shift to whichever carrier rewards you with better terms. The playing field is tilted your way right now. Use it; these strategies set you up for successful negotiations and better outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s the single most important prep for negotiating shipping rates?
Build a shipping profile that outlines your volume, zones, surcharge history, and service mix. Data is your ticket to credibility at the negotiation table.
Can really small businesses get discounts too?
Yes. Carriers like FedEx and UPS are offering discounts to smaller shippers (<$500K spend) right now; they need the volume, you need the edge.
Should I commit to one carrier long-term for better rates?
Only if you’re confident you hit forecasted volume and get a rate break or surcharge waiver. Make the terms explicit: volume thresholds, penalties, and exit clauses. While committing to a single carrier can simplify operations and potentially secure better rates, relying solely on a single carrier may reduce your flexibility and negotiation power compared to a multi-carrier approach.
How often should I renegotiate?
Every quarter, if possible. Rates and surcharges move fast. Quarterly check-ins and invoice audits help you catch leaks and push for adjustments mid-cycle.
What’s better: deepest rate or multi-carrier flexibility?
Start with the deepest rate per lane, but build flexibility. Always seek the best rate for each shipment to ensure cost-effectiveness. Carriers love loyalty, but over-dependence locks you in. Rate shop dynamically to maximize savings.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Subscription Box Fulfillment Services: How to Scale with Reliable 3PL Solutions
In this article
8 minutes
- What Makes Subscription Box Fulfillment Special
- What Subscription Commerce Logistics Must Deliver
- Real-World Scenarios Where Subscription Fulfillment Isn’t “Same as Ecommerce”
- What I’d Ask Before Signing with a 3PL For Subscription Fulfillment
- What You Can Implement Right Now
- The Bottom Line
- Frequently Asked Questions
I used to think fulfillment is fulfillment; until I helped a subscription business through a crash and burn because their 3PL treated “recurring shipment” like one-off orders. It wasn’t meager: wrong items, late boxes, branding mismatches. Cancelling subscriptions was faster than refunding half the month’s payments. Trust me, subscription box fulfillment services require a whole different playbook. Subscription box fulfillment demands a specialized fulfillment process designed to handle the unique needs of recurring shipments and ensure accuracy and consistency every cycle.
So let me walk you through the real-life, “don’t learn this the hard way” guide, how subscription commerce logistics differs, what recurring shipment 3PL solutions should offer, and how you keep customer loyalty at peak by consistently meeting or exceeding customer expectations, even when inventories wobble or your curation changes week to week.
What Makes Subscription Box Fulfillment Special
Subscription box fulfillment is not just sending parcels, it’s about rhythms and relationships:
- Recurring shipment expectations: Subscribers expect that box, every cycle, on a recurring basis. Miss it twice and you’re not a brand; you’re spam.
- Inventory choreography: You’re juggling curated kits, limited-run add-ons, and rolling replenishment. Managing inventory levels and stock levels is crucial; one SKU out of stock means a box looks incomplete (and customer loyalty cracks).
- Packaging equals brand identity: Those custom-branded packaging costs matter. A branded box is a key element that reinforces your brand identity. Miss the design or quality? It’s a crash to your reputation.
- Fulfillment visibility: You need real-time visibility so you can control expectations and de-escalate delays fast.
As your subscriber base grows, scaling fulfillment operations becomes essential to maintain service quality and customer satisfaction.
Slugging through all this yourself? That’s why you need subscription box fulfillment services that are tailored, not generic.
What Subscription Commerce Logistics Must Deliver
1) Predictable, Time-Sensitive Execution
A solid subscription fulfillment partner understands the tick-tock: you need pick-and-pack on day X, shipped on day Y, in customers’ hands on day Z. Even a 24-hour slip shrinks the window to delight. Timely deliveries and timely and accurate deliveries are crucial for customer satisfaction, as subscribers expect their products to arrive on schedule. Accurate deliveries are also essential to maintaining trust and retention.
They deal with buffer stock options, seasonal surges, and replenishment pulls without the chaos, efficiently managing order volume to ensure scalable solutions. You don’t get a “boys will be boys” excuse, just consistent flow.
2) Spot-On Inventory Management
Recurring orders mean forecast sensitivity. Look for 3PLs with real-time inventory tracking, robust warehouse management, and advanced systems that support low-stock alerts and auto-reorder thresholds for components, especially with curated subscription boxes that change each cycle. Advanced technology can further optimize inventory management and ensure accuracy throughout the fulfillment process. Leveraging data-driven insights also helps improve forecasting and inventory decisions.
You’ll retain customers when every box feels fresh and fully stocked, not “I’ll order again if and when they have everything.”
3) Branded and Custom Packaging That Doesn’t Hurt Your Margins
Subscription box fulfillment companies must marry design and cost control:
- Offer branded boxes, inner sleeves, stickers, filler, eco-friendly packaging materials, and custom boxes, but help you source them.
- Balance quality control so your boxes feel premium, but also let you tweak or swap designs mid-season, contributing to a memorable unboxing experience.
- And handle supply chain surprises, if your eco-friendly material runs out, they suggest equivalent substitutions, not “ship plain boxes.”
Creating a unique unboxing experience is essential for fostering customer loyalty and differentiating your brand.
4) Real-Time Tracking & Communication
One bad experience: a lovely unboxing disrupted by “shipment delayed” with no update. Your fulfillment provider must:
- Offer real-time tracking to your system and the customer’s inbox, including sharing order details for transparency.
- Push automated updates, and alert you proactively if one batch falls behind.
- Let your dashboard show you shipment progress and exceptions in seconds, as proactive communication is essential for meeting customer expectations.
5) Data-Driven Logistics to Improve Retention
Subscription isn’t set-it-and-forget-it. The smart fulfillment partners:
- Give you metrics on box fill rate, promise vs actual ship date, and inventory tracking, all of which are crucial for improving customer retention.
- Help you use that data to make informed decisions that reduce costs and improve efficiency: if custom packaging isn’t helping retention, redesign. If a certain kit item underperforms, swap it next cycle.
Leveraging data-driven logistics not only enhances performance but also helps lower operational costs for subscription box businesses.
Real-World Scenarios Where Subscription Fulfillment Isn’t “Same as Ecommerce”
- Curation pivot mid-cycle: You sell out of a featured item and need to substitute. For any subscription box business or subscription box service, this is a common challenge. Your 3PL handles the swap, updates customers, and reroutes without chaos.
- Sudden inventory shift: Your coffee subscription’s East Coast warehouse runs low on finished product due to a supplier delay. Instead of leaving orders unfilled, your fulfillment partner reallocates stock from your West Coast facility or another pre-approved partner site within their network. The order ships on time, inventory records stay accurate, and your customers never see a hiccup.
- Quality surprise: A season’s custom tissue paper arrives misprinted. A good provider tags, rejects, sources replacements, and keeps fulfillment on track, even while you redesign. Maintaining quality control in these situations is essential for protecting your brand reputation and the brand’s reputation.
What I’d Ask Before Signing with a 3PL For Subscription Fulfillment
When evaluating each fulfillment company, it’s important to understand how most fulfillment companies handle key issues like shipping costs, hidden costs, and their experience as a third-party logistics partner for subscription box businesses. Here are some essential questions to ask:
1. How do you handle recurring shipment scheduling’s effect on labor and box cuts?
2. What’s your inventory alert logic? Can it prevent the dreaded “out of stock surprise”?
3. Custom packaging: Can you swap designs mid-series without excess waste or cost spikes?
4. Dashboard and comms: are delays visible and notifications automated?
5. What data do you report on: fill rate, mispacks, customer feedback loops?
6. Are there any hidden costs or fees in your pricing structure?
7. How do you manage shipping cost and shipping costs, and do you offer strategies to minimize these expenses?
8. What is your experience as a third-party logistics partner specifically for subscription box businesses?
What You Can Implement Right Now
- Audit your current fulfillment workflow, time from pick to delivery versus brand loyalty threshold, and identify areas to save time and improve efficiency.
- Ask your 3PL how they measure on-time delivery % specifically for recurring orders.
- Demand custom packaging change flexibility (mini-runs, design swaps, samples).
- Set up real-time dashboard alerts for inventory dips during order processing.
- Run a quarterly “what if” box, simulate a substitution or shortage, and timeline the customer experience.
- Consider outsourcing fulfillment or choosing to outsource fulfillment to a specialized provider to scale efficiently and streamline operations.
The Bottom Line
Subscription box fulfillment isn’t “shipping”; it’s choreography, communication, brand experience, and retention economy. For subscription businesses, just “handling orders” isn’t enough: you need subscription fulfillment partners that think ahead, swap fast, and protect your brand every shipment. Effective subscription box fulfillment not only supports a reliable revenue stream but also helps build meaningful connections with your customers, fostering loyalty and long-term engagement.
Do fulfillment thoughtfully, and your IT system becomes invisible; your customer thinks “they’ve got me.” Screw it up, or do the same as B2C, and you just burn renewable revenue. These strategies are essential for any subscription service, subscription services, or ecommerce businesses looking to scale recurring revenue and stand out in a competitive market.
Frequently Asked Questions
How Is Subscription Box Fulfillment Different from One-Off Ecommerce?
Fulfillment services for subscription boxes manage recurring shipments, evolving inventory, and branded consistency across cycles, whereas traditional ecomm is more ad hoc and SKU-stable.
Are Branded Boxes Worth the Cost?
Absolutely. Custom packaging shapes brand perception. A memorable unboxing contributes to customer loyalty and justifies premium pricing, or helps prevent churn.
How Can I Ensure I Don’t Run Out of Critical Inventory?
Partner with a 3PL that offers real-time inventory alerts and auto-reorder thresholds. You should be alerted to low stock long before the last master case is opened, not after.
Can Packaging Designs Really Be Swapped Mid-Season?
Yes, good fulfillment centers support flexible packaging runs. Ask for ability to pilot new designs or move to fallback options without cost cliffs or downtime.
What Metrics Should I Track for Subscription Fulfillment Success?
Track on-time delivery rate, box fill accuracy, customer re-order rate, and return or complaint reasons. Weekly reporting on these helps shape product, design, and supply planning.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Freight Fraud: Why Logistics Professionals Need to Stay Vigilant
In this article
9 minutes
- The Freight Industry’s New Risk Math
- How The Most Common Scams Really Work (And Where Teams Trip)
- What I’d Implement Tomorrow If I Owned Your Brokerage (Or Fleet)
- Why The Fraud Curve Keeps Rising (And How To Bend It)
- Tools And Practices I Trust (And How I Deploy Them)
- What To Update In Your Contracts
- The Bottom Line
- Frequently Asked Questions
Freight fraud isn’t one scam; it’s a whole category of criminal business models feeding on a hyper-competitive, digitized freight industry. I’m talking identity theft of legitimate carriers, double brokering that ends in non-payment, fake profiles on load boards, and cargo theft that disappears shipments and dollars annually. If you touch loads, broker, carrier, or shipper, you’re in the blast radius.
I run logistics with a simple rule: assume bad actors are probing your systems every week. Not because you’re special, but because the freight industry itself is a target-rich environment. Fragmented systems, undertrained teams, pressure to cover loads now, and lots of sensitive information moving through email. That’s catnip for fraudsters.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyThe Freight Industry’s New Risk Math
Everyone feels the squeeze: rates down, fuel up, customers impatient. Hyper-competition creates more opportunities for shortcuts. Shortcuts create more openings for fraud. The logistics industry isn’t dealing with one-off incidents anymore; we’re living with a persistent threat where sophisticated schemes evolve faster than most companies update their practices.
Let’s call it what it is: freight fraud costs are rising, and the fraudsters are getting bolder. Double brokering, payment fraud, cargo theft, and identity theft now show up in various forms, compromised login credentials, spoofed emails, sold or stolen MC numbers, counterfeit COIs, cloned carrier websites, and even deepfaked voices on “verification” calls. The logistics sector’s old playbook, trust the paperwork, move the load, no longer maps to reality.
How The Most Common Scams Really Work (And Where Teams Trip)
1. Double brokering that turns into non-payment
A re-broker posts a fake or hijacked load, books a real carrier, and either never pays the carrier or swaps in a ghost carrier midstream. You’ll see mismatched domains, urgent tone, vague driver information, and last-minute banking changes. Freight brokers fall when the verification process is rushed or when one person is allowed to override policy “this one time.”
2. Carrier identity theft and fake profiles
Fraudsters impersonate legitimate carriers, sometimes with real DOT/MC details and a cloned website. They’ll provide doctored insurance and driver info, then vanish after pickup. Tell-tale signs: phone numbers that don’t match official listings, Gmail addresses on “legitimate carriers,” and COIs that don’t verify with the insurer.
3. Cargo theft with clean paperwork
Organized groups use social engineering to become the real broker on paper, then redirect a shipment to a shell yard. Legitimate carriers get stuck in the middle, shippers blame “the broker,” and recovery becomes a long shot. Metals, consumer electronics, food and beverage, apparel, high-value, easy-to-fence categories are red hot again.
4. Payment fraud that drains financial stability
BEC-style email compromises reroute payments. Fraudsters slip into threads, swap ACH details, and collect. If your AP team isn’t verifying identities with out-of-band call-backs, your “real broker” might be paying the wrong account for months.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPWhat I’d Implement Tomorrow If I Owned Your Brokerage (Or Fleet)
This isn’t theory. It’s a practical verification process that protects operations without killing speed. Train employees; write it down; audit it monthly.
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Get My Free 3PL RFP1. Identity and intent verification (every new partner, every time)
- Verify carrier identity from official sources, not the email signature. Use FMCSA SAFER, the carrier’s own website, and insurer call-backs to numbers you locate, not numbers they provide.
- Require real-time photo ID for the driver and dispatcher on video. Keep the call recording with the load file.
- Confirm COI straight with the insurance agent, not a PDF attachment. No exceptions.
- If the email domain is generic (Gmail, Yahoo), treat it as high risk even if everything “checks out.”
2. Dedicate one person to kill switches
- No last-minute banking or payment changes without an out-of-band phone verification to a known number on file.
- Suspend credit immediately if a partner refuses insurance verification or won’t do a quick video handshake.
- Lock payment terms until a first successful shipment clears without incident.
3. Secure your systems like you secure your yard
- MFA everywhere: TMS, load boards, factoring portals, email, cloud storage. If a login doesn’t support MFA (Multi-Factor Authentication), replace it.
- Restrict who can view full load details. Use role-based access so a compromised seat can’t harvest your entire book.
- Monitor for exposed credentials. If a password shows up in a breach, rotate immediately and re-train the user.
- Backstop with an allowlist of company-approved tools. No rogue spreadsheets with driver information on personal devices.
4. Tighten the load board workflow
- Build a “trust tier” for carriers, legitimate carriers you’ve vetted get first look at freight. New or unverified carriers go through the long-form checklist every time.
- Use watchlists and industry networks to screen for known bad actors. Share your own intel back to the network.
- Hide certain sensitive information in initial posts. Reveal pickup location and shipper name only after verification.
5. Pick up security measures at the dock
- Two-factor pickup: photo ID matches the driver’s info on file, and the truck’s plate matches what dispatch provided earlier.
- Geofence the pickup and capture a geo-tagged arrival photo in your app.
- Use one-time PINs at handoff. Record BOL photos and seal numbers in the app; require the driver to sign digitally.
- Train warehouse staff on scripts and escalation. If anything smells wrong, the shipment waits. Period.
6. Payment controls that actually prevent loss
- Micro-deposit verification for new bank accounts and changes to vendor records.
- Segregate duties: the person who verifies bank changes is not the person who releases payments.
- Factor with visibility. If you factor, require that your factor run separate fraud checks on re-brokers and carriers.
7. Tabletop drills and train employees quarterly
- Run 60-minute fraud drills every quarter: fake COI, spoofed phone, urgent re-route request. Measure time-to-catch.
- Post a one-page “what to do if you suspect fraud” near every ops seat and warehouse desk.
- Celebrate the catches; don’t shame false positives. The goal is culture: stay vigilant.
Why The Fraud Curve Keeps Rising (And How To Bend It)
First, the logistics industry has gone fully digital, but most companies still work like it’s 2015. Multiple sites, remote teams, and outsourced partners create more seams for fraudsters to pry open. Second, identity makes or breaks almost every scheme. If you get good at verifying identities, people, companies, and vehicles, you defang most fraudulent activities before they start. Third, speed pressure. When the supply chain is tight and customer SLAs are aggressive, a fake “carrier with a truck nearby” looks like a gift. That urgency is the weapon.
The counterplay isn’t fancy. It’s repeatable verification, security measures that are boring on purpose, and an operations culture that rewards caution. Industry networks help too. When brokers and carriers share signals, bad phone numbers, fake profiles, and stolen driver information, the whole community gets harder to crack. I’ll always choose a slightly slower start to a shipment over paying for a stolen load later.
Tools And Practices I Trust (And How I Deploy Them)
- Identity-centric platforms: Tools that cross-check DOT/MC, insurance, safety, equipment, and contact footprints help spot anomalies fast. Use them to flag identity theft and double brokering in real time.
- Risk dashboards: Cargo theft heat maps and alerts inform pickup scheduling, route choices, and parking policies. Think night pickups, high-value corridors, and urban pinch points.
- Device-based tracking: For sensitive shipments, add a breadcrumb, IoT trackers that phone home if a seal breaks or a trailer detours.
- Payment monitoring: Set rules that flag payments to newly created vendors or accounts changed this week.
- Annual security reviews: Audit your verification process, contracts, and training every year; refresh your playbook as schemes evolve.
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- Clear language that prohibits re-brokering without written consent; define “unlawful brokerage” and spell out remedies.
- Explicit requirements for driver verification, equipment photos, and geofenced check-ins at pickup and drop.
- COI verification requirements (direct with insurer) and minimum limits by commodity.
- A right to withhold payment pending investigation if identity or paperwork is suspect.
- Data handling and privacy clauses so sensitive information isn’t scattered across freelancers and random portals.
The Bottom Line
Freight fraud is a logistics industry problem, not a single-department issue. If you’re a broker, you’re steering risk on every tender. If you’re a carrier, you’re a target for identity theft and non-payment. If you’re a shipper, your supply chain and financial stability ride on how well your partners verify identities and protect shipments. This isn’t about being paranoid; it’s about being professional.
One last thing. None of this works if leadership treats fraud like an ops headache. It’s a business risk. Train employees; fund the tools; make “verify first” the default. You’ll protect your carriers and your shippers, because you’ll show up as the real broker, the one that pays, the one that ships, the one that protects the load.
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s the single fastest way to cut freight fraud risk this quarter?
Put a hard stop on any banking change, COI swap, or pickup reroute without an out-of-band call-back to a known number on file. One policy change, massive impact.
How do I verify a legitimate carrier without slowing down?
Use a verification workflow: FMCSA/SAFER check, direct insurer call-back, video handshake with the dispatcher, and a quick driver ID match. Do it once, then tier your partners so legitimate carriers move fast on future loads.
What should warehouse staff look for at pickup?
License plate and driver ID must match your file; seal and BOL photos captured in your app; one-time PIN used at handoff; no “my boss said change the address” moves. If something feels off, the shipment does not leave.
Are load boards still safe to use?
Yes, with guardrails. Hide sensitive information up front, screen carriers through your identity tools, and use watchlists to spot re-brokers and fake profiles. Treat open boards as top-of-funnel, not as your verification system.
How do I keep my team from falling victim to BEC and payment fraud?
MFA on email and finance systems; train AP to validate account changes with voice verification to a known number; run monthly reports of “new vendor, new bank” and review them. No screenshots as proof. Only call-backs.
What freight tools or networks should I use or join?
Join the industry networks that share fraud intel and theft alerts; use risk dashboards for route and parking decisions; consider identity-centric platforms for real-time verification. The mix matters less than the habit of checking.
What should my customers hear from me about freight security?
Explain your verification process, your preventative measures, and how you protect sensitive information. It builds trust, and it wins freight.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

The Ecommerce Playbooks That Broke in 2025 (from Ugly Talk NYC)
If you’re still running your brand like it’s 2020: open rates as your North Star, Pixel-only attribution, and “more SKUs = more sales”, you’re not just leaving money on the table; you’re flying blind.
This piece is a field guide to what stopped working and what operators are doing instead in 2025. It’s tough love, drawn from the Ugly Talk NYC session, “Building Profitable Ecommerce in a Downward Market”, held at NomadWorks in Times Square, New York, in August 2025, and validated with industry data, so founders can course-correct in a market that’s very different from five years ago.
Speakers at Ugly Talk NYC — Meet the Panelists Featured Here
- Manish Chowdhary — Founder & CEO, Cahoot (panel moderator)
- London Glorfield — Founder, Kickback (screenless electronics)
- Maya Juchtman — Senior Director, Marketing & Partnerships, Roswell NYC
- Sabir Semerkant — Founder, Growth by Sabir, helped drive $1B+ in ecommerce growth
(Detailed bios appear at the end of this article.)
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and Money1) Meta Over-Reliance Collapsed
The narrative is overly simplified to “iOS killed Facebook tracking.” The real story: compounding privacy changes across devices and browsers eroded deterministic tracking and last-click storytelling:
- Apple’s App Tracking Transparency (ATT) made cross-app tracking opt-in in 2021, permanently constraining the signal from iOS users. Meta publicly acknowledged conversion under-reporting after ATT (roughly ~15% at first, later ~8% as fixes rolled out).
- Browser defaults now block cross-site tracking whether you run apps or not: Safari’s Intelligent Tracking Prevention has fully blocked third-party cookies since 2020; Firefox’s Enhanced Tracking Protection blocks cross-site tracking by default (with Total Cookie Protection rolled out to all users in 2022).
- Chrome in 2025: After years of Privacy Sandbox testing, Google pivoted: Chrome is not proceeding with a one-size cookie phase-out, moving instead to a user-choice model, removing the “hard stop” many hoped would normalize alternatives. Regulators also signaled they no longer need ongoing commitments tied to deprecation. Translation: third-party cookies persist, but fragmentation is the new normal.
When you depend on one channel’s pixel to tell you the truth, you get whipsawed by platform and policy shifts. As Sabir framed it, treat channels like a diversified portfolio, shift dollars in real-time as signal or platform risk changes, not months later.
“Remember that right after the election, right, that weekend, there were so many creators in tears saying goodbyes on TikTok. And then that Saturday night into Sunday, it was turned back on, right? So that kind of stuff, your business cannot rely on those kinds of things. If that were to happen to me, I would say, ‘Okay, you know what, doesn’t matter. I’m gonna shift my attention over here, right, and I’m gonna just reallocate my time, my energy, my budget towards this, this other set. I don’t have to worry about this one issue that’s happening because it doesn’t have to be a full-on shutdown like TikTok, right? It could be just TikTok rolled out an update, and there was a problem. — Sabir.
What replaces Pixel-only?
A hybrid tracking stack: platform pixel + server-side signals.
- Meta Conversions API (CAPI): Send deduplicated events server-to-server with event_id so the same conversion isn’t counted twice. This is now baseline, not “advanced.”
- Google Enhanced Conversions / offline imports: Hash first-party emails/phones when a purchase happens to improve match rates and bidding; Google is continuing to add flexibility to conversion imports. If you target the EEA/UK/CH, Consent Mode v2 (with a certified CMP) is required to maintain ad features.
Also, remember the baseline privacy gap; roughly a third of internet users use ad blockers at least sometimes, further degrading client-side measurement.
Bottom line: You can’t manage what you can’t measure. Build server-side redundancy, deduplicate, and expect platform models to “fill in” gaps, then validate with lift tests and surveys.
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Get My Free 3PL RFP2) Email Marketing’s Illusion
Email is still a profit engine, but the scoreboard you’ve been staring at is broken.
- Apple Mail Privacy Protection (MPP) preloads tracking pixels regardless of actual opens, thereby inflating open rates and obscuring location and timing data. Apple’s own documentation and reputable email firms agree that opens are no longer a reliable metric. Litmus estimates that over half of opens happen on devices with MPP enabled.
- That’s why operators see 30 – 35% “opens” but real engagement is more like ~10%, exactly what came up at Ugly Talk. The fix: stop optimizing to opens, and tighten to engagement segments.
What to do instead:
- Track clicks, placed orders, and revenue per recipient; use click-to-delivered and unengaged suppression to protect deliverability. Postmark and Constant Contact both emphasize the shift away from open-driven automations.
- If your ESP supports it, use first-party events (add-to-cart, checkout started) as triggers and zero-party data to personalize; no pixel required.
Spray-and-pray is a deliverability death spiral. Trim dead weight and measure behavior, not proxy opens. (Learn more about retention math and LTV/CAC loops.)
3) SKU Bloat Drains Cash and Focus
In a world of higher shipping, tariffs, and tighter cash, SKU creep kills margins and operational agility. The panel’s blunt take: brands with 30 orders and 300 SKUs are waving red flags, and “16 colors doesn’t make you a better parent.” Focus on a hero, then earn the right to expand.
“If you have a brand that you think that, oh, I should have 16 colors, like, why. Why would you? Oh, because I did Semrush and my competitive Google shopping. The intern I hired gave me a report stating that we have three colors, while our competitors have 16 to 32 colors. On average, they have about 24 colors. We have only three. Maybe that’s the problem. So, let’s add 16 other colors to our list to at least be in the playing field. It’s like having 16 more children, but you think that’s going to make you a better parent? It doesn’t make you a better parent at all. In fact, the unit economics: now you have to pay square footage to put that inventory in a warehouse. You have to pay for fuel to transport it from its source to the transfer point. And now, what did you do? You went, you took out a loan to buy that inventory, and now that inventory is dead, sitting over there with nobody buying it. Nobody cares. Remember, there’s one great quote by Henry Ford, the founder of the car company: “The consumers can have any color car they want as long as it’s black”. — Sabir.
Why the old playbook broke:
- Fragmented demand inflates MOQs, inventory carrying, returns complexity, and content ops (photos, PDP copy, reviews).
- Stockouts reset ad learning and nuke momentum; you pay twice when campaigns relearn.
What to do instead:
- Ruthless SKU rationalization: keep hero velocity > everything. Tie launch cadence to supply certainty and gross margin thresholds.
4) AI Content Flood = Diminishing Returns
London pointed out: “More posts” is not the strategy. Consumers, especially Gen Z, spot AI instantly and are rewarding thoughtful, crafted pieces over volume. One handcrafted video outperformed 300 AI-generated videos by 100 times in the panel’s experience.
AI is an accelerant, not an autopilot. Sabir advises sellers to treat it like brilliant interns from MIT, who still need direction. Use AI to draft, summarize, and QA, but creative judgment, community intimacy, and context are the moat.
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Here’s the operator checklist our team sees working right now:
A. Rebuild tracking for reality
- Meta: Pixel + CAPI with event_id deduplication; maximize Event Match Quality.
- Google: Turn on Enhanced Conversions (account-level now supported); if you have EEA/UK/CH traffic, implement Consent Mode v2 with a certified CMP.
- Channel diversification: Shift budgets when platform risk arises (policy shifts, bugs, legal issues). Manage channels like a portfolio—reallocate, don’t react months later.
B. Replace “opens” with engagement
- KPIs: unique clicks, placed orders, rev/recipient, unsub rate, inbox placement.
- Maintain unengaged suppression and sunset rules; rebuild win-backs around clicks or site behavior, not opens.
C. Fewer, better SKUs
- Tie assortment decisions to fully loaded unit economics (landed cost, packaging, mailers, warehouse space). Kill variants that stall; scale what compounds.
D. Aim content at “would-watch even if it wasn’t branded”
- Scripted, functional pieces beat floods of AI filler. Utilize AI to expedite specific parts of the workflow.
E. Validate beyond platforms
- Use post-purchase surveys, geo-lift, and holdout tests where possible to sanity-check modeled platform ROAS.
Frequently Asked Questions
Did iOS “kill” Facebook ads?
No, but it killed the old measurement playbook. ATT cut cross-app tracking; browsers block cross-site cookies by default; ad blockers further reduce client-side signals. Meta added CAPI and modeling to compensate, but you must send server-side events and validate with incrementality tests.
Are open rates dead?
For decision-making, yes. MPP preloads images, inflates open times, and hides geolocation/time. Track clicks, orders, and rev/recipient; rebuild automations around behavior, not opens.
Should I still prepare for third-party cookies to vanish?
You should prepare for fragmentation rather than a single cutover. Safari and Firefox already block cross-site tracking by default; Chrome abandoned a hard deprecation and is shifting to user choice. Either way, hybrid measurement and first-party data win.
Where does CAC fit in 2025?
CAC isn’t one number anymore; it’s layered by funnel position, creative, and channel.
Speaker Bios
Manish Chowdhary — Manish Chowdhary is the Founder & CEO of Cahoot, the most comprehensive post-purchase logistics platform for ecommerce brands. We help merchants scale profitably with a bundled suite of services that includes:
- Fast, cost-effective fulfillment (1-day and 2-day nationwide coverage)
- AI-powered multi-warehouse shipping software that selects the cheapest label automatically
- An industry-first peer-to-peer returns solution that eliminates return shipping and restocking costs
With over 100 warehouses and advanced shipping automation, we help brands maintain control, boost speed, and cut logistics costs without the overhead of traditional 3PLs. I’m passionate about helping ecommerce businesses grow smarter. If you’re looking to improve your margins, delight customers, and future-proof your logistics, let’s connect.
My work has been recognized with multiple industry accolades, most recently winning the SaaStock USA Global Pitch Competition 2024. I’m passionate about leveraging technology and collaboration to push the boundaries of e-commerce and logistics, creating new opportunities for merchants worldwide.
London Glorfield — London is a founder and creative strategist who’s built at the intersection of culture and product his entire career. A former RCA-signed artist, he previously ran a creative direction firm and a Squarespace-style software startup. He is currently reimagining consumer electronics with Kickback.world, a fashion-forward audio brand rooted in youth culture and design.
Maya Juchtman — Maya is a creative marketing strategist and partnerships leader known for blending brand storytelling with performance. As Senior Director of Marketing & Partnerships at Roswell NYC, a Webby Award–winning Shopify Plus agency, she’s helped brands like Brixton, Hyperlite, and Curious Elixirs scale through thoughtful strategy and standout campaigns. With a background in customer experience and leading brands through start-up to acquisition, she brings a human-first, culturally aware lens to every project, building community, driving growth, and pushing the boundaries of what digital marketing can be.
Sabir Semerkant — Sabir is the go-to eCommerce growth strategist, credited with over $1B in revenue for 200+ brands from Canon to Sour Patch Kids. Backed by Gary Vee and Neil Patel, Sabir’s Rapid 2X method delivers 2X growth in 12–18 months profitably. Since 2024, it’s powered 70+ brands across 17 industries with an average 108% lift. His Rapid 2X Protocol is the unfair advantage for any eCom brand with product–market fit, engineered to scale revenue and profit even in down markets. Want real talk? Sabir reveals why most brands will fail in 2025 and exactly how to make sure yours isn’t one of them.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

5 Brutal Truths About Ecommerce Profitability (from Ugly Talk NYC)
In this article
14 minutes
- Meet the Panelists Featured Here
- Brutal Truth #1: The ZIRP Era Is Dead
- Brutal Truth #2: Old Tracking Playbooks Are Broken
- Brutal Truth #3: CAC Math Is a Lie in 2025
- Brutal Truth #4: Less Is More — SKUs, Content, Channels
- Brutal Truth #5: AI Will Not Save You Without Context
- The Playbook That Replaces the Old One
- Full Session Video
- Frequently Asked Questions
- Speaker Bios
In August 2025, founders and operators packed a standing room only space at NomadWorks in Times Square, New York City for Ugly Talk NYC: Building Profitable Ecommerce in a Downward Market, a panel designed to cut through the noise. No “growth hacks.” No feel-good fluff. Just raw, unfiltered truth about why ecommerce profitability has never been harder, and what you need to do about it now.
If you’re reading this, you’re not looking for theory. You want survival strategies. This article distills the 5 brutal truths shared on stage, each a direct challenge to the old playbooks that no longer work. It distills the sharpest insights from blends them with current data and outside examples, and leaves you with a focused playbook for the second half of 2025. Use it as the pillar article that spawns your clips, carousels, emails, and deep-dives.
Meet the Panelists Featured Here
- Manish Chowdhary — Founder & CEO, Cahoot (panel moderator)
- London Glorfield — Founder, Kickback (screenless electronics)
- Maya Juchtman — Senior Director, Marketing & Partnerships, Roswell NYC
- Sabir Semerkant — Founder, Growth by Sabir, helped drive $1B+ in ecommerce growth
(Detailed bios appear at the end of this article.)
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyBrutal Truth #1: The ZIRP Era Is Dead
Panel moderator Manish Chowdhary opened with a stark reminder:
“For a long time until very recently we were in a zero interest rate phenomenon and money was easy, money was flowing. When that happens, fundamentals go out the door which means weak businesses thrive or appear to thrive. There are 10 ecommerce darlings … Stitch Fix, Grove Collaborative, even Olaplex are penny stocks. They probably won’t be trading on the New York Stock Exchange for much longer now.”
For a decade, zero interest rates hid a lot of sins. That era really is over. The Federal Reserve kept policy tight through mid-2025 as inflation and growth data stayed mixed; capital is scarce again and the bar for profitability is higher. Translation: if your growth story depends on forever-cheap money, it is not a story anymore.
At the same time, the rules of trade changed. In 2025 the White House directed sweeping tariff actions, including reciprocal tariffs, a new tariff commission, and orders to suspend de minimis entry benefits to certain countries for national security and unfair trade concerns. If you import, your landed-cost model changed whether you noticed or not. Plan pricing, assortment, and cash cycles accordingly.
Panelists underscored how the “free money plus cheap acquisition” era minted fragile brands.
“Weak businesses thrived under cheap money. Today, those same brands say ‘I don’t want to be like me.’” — Manish.
This is a hard reset: brands that looked unstoppable during the ZIRP boom are collapsing. A harsh reminder that product love without durable unit economics does not keep the lights on. The takeaway is not doom; it is clarity. Rebuild your plan around cash margin, inventory turns, and repeat behavior instead of “fundraising as a strategy.”
What to do next:
- Re-forecast demand with tariff-inclusive costs, not “last year plus five percent.” Build A/B/C scenarios that stress test your cash conversion cycle under higher duties and slower demand.
- Renegotiate with suppliers using tariff math as leverage. Lock freight earlier and shorten cash exposure windows where possible.
- Tighten SKU economics: kill long-tail variants that tie up working capital and complicate replenishment. We revisit SKU discipline in Brutal Truth #4.
Brutal Truth #2: Old Tracking Playbooks Are Broken
The story is not “iOS killed the Pixel” and that is the end. It started with Apple’s App Tracking Transparency (ATT) and Mail Privacy Protection, then spread to browser privacy defaults, ad blockers, and a shifting timeline for third-party cookies in Chrome. Treating the Meta Pixel as gospel in 2025 is how you fly blind.
Email metrics are distorted too. The panel called out inflated open rates: those “35% opens” many teams celebrate are not real if a big chunk of your audience is on Apple Mail with MPP. Litmus and others confirm that MPP obscures open behavior and that “open” is no longer a reliable KPI. Expect inconsistent handling of MPP across email service providers and move your reporting toward clicks, conversions, revenue, and deliverability health.
“You need to manage ecommerce like your Charles Schwab or Fidelity account, money management first, not blind ad spend.” — Sabir.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPThe fix is a hybrid, first-party stack:
- Pixel + Conversions API (CAPI) with deduplication. Send server-side events, include event IDs, and deduplicate against browser events. This is Meta’s own recommendation for restoring signal quality post-ATT.
- Aggregated Event Measurement and prioritized web events, plus server-to-server purchase reporting, to stabilize performance reporting.
- Email reality check: prune disengaged segments, build exclusion rules, and monitor sender reputation daily. Spray-and-pray is a deliverability death spiral.
- Measure beyond last-click. Use modeled attribution and incrementality testing where possible; treat platform-reported ROAS as a directional input, not financial truth.
“I just looked at a few accounts recently…their deliverability [was] horrible. But they came to me and they were like, ‘Oh I’m seeing 35% open rates. 30% open rates, that’s fine, right?’ Actually no. If you’re sending to lists and you’re not doing exclusions and you’re not actually thinking about Apple privacy which auto inflates. So those numbers, that open rate, that’s not real, that’s Apple privacy, Google and Hotmail inflating that. So your open rate is actually probably going to be more like 10.” — Maya.
Why this matters: brands that relied on Meta Pixel lost signal, misallocated budget, and watched revenue wobble when the ground shifted. Hybrid tracking, server events, and healthier email lists (even is leaner) help you defend spend and redirect dollars faster.
Brutal Truth #3: CAC Math Is a Lie in 2025
“CAC isn’t one number anymore, layered strategy required.” — Summary of Maya’s segment.
CAC used to be a single dashboard tile. Now it is a portfolio of acquisition costs across funnel stages and channels. Top-of-funnel stories are expensive and slow, but they seed cheaper retargeting, stronger LTV, and more resilient cohorts. Roswell’s work with Hyperlite illustrates this: brand and experience up top, brand-aware retargeting down-funnel, and a different CAC expectation for each layer.
When you treat CAC as a single number, you are tempted to shut off expensive awareness that actually lowers blended CAC over time. In 2025, the math that matters is blended CAC to contribution margin by cohort, with inventory and cash timing in the same equation.
A tighter model:
- Top-funnel CAC: higher; track assist value, search lift, and branded queries.
- Mid-funnel CAC: creative-led; expect decays in 3 – 6 weeks as creative burns out. Rotate on a schedule.
- Bottom-funnel CAC: cheaper retargeting; cap frequency, and watch saturating segments.
- Community CAC: Discord, events, direct mail; small volumes, high LTV, exceptional payback.
Finally, build a channel-shift reflex. If 70% of spend sits on Meta and performance degrades, rebalance to 70% Google, 30% Meta overnight; the panel was blunt that single-platform dependency is a solvency risk now.
Brutal Truth #4: Less Is More — SKUs, Content, Channels
SKUs. The room agreed: assortment bloat is a silent margin killer. If you have “30 orders and 300 SKUs,” you do not have a marketing problem, you have a focus problem. Ship the hero, kill the laggards, and stop coloring the T-shirt sixteen ways.
“If you can’t make your hero product succeed in a big way, these chotchkes are not going to save you. That’s just a pure distraction. And I can tell you from my own personal experience, we throw away that stuff because nobody wants it. We can’t even get pennies on the dollar. The brand may associate such deep emotional and financial value to that, but it has zero or very little value outside. So you have to be very, very consider it in your product skus election. Just because one customer says, I wanted a small burgundy, that is not a reason to produce that in small burgundy.” — Manish.
Outside the room, SKU discipline shows up in the data. Post-pandemic, CPG leaders that rationalized assortments saw service levels recover and productivity improve; fewer SKUs meant fewer changeovers and better on-shelf availability. Ecommerce is no different: fewer variants mean faster replenishment, fewer stockouts, and cleaner creative.
Content. Volume for volume’s sake is out. London put it plainly: Kickback moved from “posting 10 times a day” to scripted, value-driven content, because audiences are saturated and can sniff filler. Manish’s team blasted out 300 AI-generated videos in a week and one handcrafted video outperformed all of them combined by ~100x. That is not a cute anecdote, it is a strategy correction: quality over volume.
Channels. Kickback treats channels like a portfolio. TikTok is growth equity, Instagram is the S&P, email is for committed audiences, Discord and physical mail are VIP touchpoints. That last one matters. London’s team sends text-first emails and literal playlists, and then backs it up with quarterly handwritten notes. Community intimacy beats blast discounts.
Direct mail is back in the mix. Panelists see postcards and letters driving meaningful second-purchase behavior; Sabir cited 14 – 20% response rates in recent campaigns and argued that, for the first time in years, a stamped postcard can be cheaper than a Meta click. Meanwhile, stamp prices rose again in July 2025 to 80¢ for a First-Class Forever stamp, which is still a modest input compared to volatile CPCs. The point is not that mail is “cheap,” it is that it can be predictable, targeted, and human in a way digital often is not.
Brutal Truth #5: AI Will Not Save You Without Context
“AI is like hiring interns from MIT, University of Penn, Harvard, or Yale, really smart, really smart kids, right? Phenomenal. Very intelligent. They have amazing intelligence, but they just don’t know how to use it. It’s my job to guide them.” — Sabir.
Generative tools are incredible force multipliers, and they also flood the feed with sameness. When everyone can ship 100 posts a day, quality becomes the only differentiator. That is visible in search as well. Google’s evolving guidance keeps prioritizing E-E-A-T (experience, expertise, authoritativeness, and trust) and people-first content; gaming systems with AI-written mush is a fast track to nowhere.
London’s read on Gen Z is instructive: they spot AI instantly and reward brands that feel human. Use AI to research, draft, and speed checks, then layer on your voice, data, and video craft. Manish’s 100x lesson is the headline here, and it pairs with a second one from the panel: optimize for AI discovery, not just traditional SEO. Package your catalogs and content so LLMs can “see” them, test queries in AI products, and partner with publishers those models cite. That is the new distribution.
“The reality on the ground is that most brands, they’re so obsessed with paying Meta ads and Google Ads that they’re not focused on the organic strategies where they need to be developing. Especially AI. SEO is a thing right now where you can, you can package your content and actually feed it so that it can get discovered by AI engines. Because that’s where we are going, you know. And if you are optimizing your business based on what worked in 2022, that was a different part, different world at that time, right? It doesn’t exist. That world doesn’t exist right now.” — Sabir.
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Explore Fulfillment NetworkThe Playbook That Replaces the Old One
1) Operate like a money manager. Review spend daily; shift between channels quickly; protect cash; model tariffs explicitly; keep a rolling 13-week cash forecast.
2) Rebuild measurement. Pixel + CAPI with deduplication; AEM-prioritized events; click- and conversion-centric email analytics; full-funnel blended CAC.
3) Design for repeat behavior. Fewer products, tighter variants, faster replenishments, and community touchpoints that earn a second purchase.
4) Make fewer, better assets. Script, storyboard, and ship formats the audience would watch even if your brand name disappeared.
5) Treat physical mail and in-channel communities as profit centers. When done thoughtfully, they compound LTV while ad channels churn.
Full Session Video
[Embed the full recording here once live on YouTube or Vimeo. Use chapters by question for skimmability.]
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the single biggest profitability mistake brands are making in 2025?
Treating growth like it is still 2019. Cheap money and cheap acquisition masked weak unit economics. Today, you must run a tariff-aware P&L, operate with cash discipline, and design your plan around repeat purchase, not just net-new.
How exactly has Apple changed the way we measure marketing?
ATT and MPP broke legacy habits. App-level tracking is limited; email “opens” are inflated or meaningless. Shift to first-party data, Pixel + CAPI with deduplication, prioritized events, and conversion-level outcomes. Make “deliverability health” and “incremental revenue” your email KPIs.
Are third-party cookies still going away?
Chrome’s timing has been fluid and subject to regulatory review, but the direction is the same: less cross-site tracking, more privacy-preserving APIs. Plan as if third-party cookies are not dependable and invest in first-party audiences and server-side measurement now.
Why is direct mail suddenly on everyone’s roadmap?
Because it creates a human moment, is targetable, and, for many segments, has become cost-competitive with paid clicks again. Stamp prices rose to 80¢ in July 2025, yet response rates on targeted house-file mailings can be multiples of cold digital traffic. Use it for high-value cohorts and second-purchase nudges.
What does “Less Is More” mean in practice?
Cut SKUs aggressively, ship only what you can replenish, and make media you are proud to sign. Treat content and assortments like constrained resources. The panel’s best-performing video was a single crafted piece, not 300 AI clones.
How should I think about CAC now?
Make CAC layered: top-funnel story costs more and pays off in retargeting and LTV; mid-funnel burns out faster; bottom-funnel is cheaper but finite. Report blended CAC to contribution margin by cohort, not a single number.
Is email still worth the work?
Yes, but only if you run it like deliverability-first CRM. Build exclusions, cull dead segments, personalize copy, and measure clicks, conversions, and revenue. “Set and forget” is how you get clipped in 2025.
Speaker Bios
Manish Chowdhary — Manish Chowdhary is the Founder & CEO of Cahoot, the most comprehensive post-purchase logistics platform for ecommerce brands. We help merchants scale profitably with a bundled suite of services that includes:
- Fast, cost-effective fulfillment (1-day and 2-day nationwide coverage)
- AI-powered multi-warehouse shipping software that selects the cheapest label automatically
- An industry-first peer-to-peer returns solution that eliminates return shipping and restocking costs
With over 100 warehouses and advanced shipping automation, we help brands maintain control, boost speed, and cut logistics costs without the overhead of traditional 3PLs. I’m passionate about helping ecommerce businesses grow smarter. If you’re looking to improve your margins, delight customers, and future-proof your logistics, let’s connect.
My work has been recognized with multiple industry accolades, most recently winning the SaaStock USA Global Pitch Competition 2024. I’m passionate about using technology and collaboration to push the boundaries of ecommerce and logistics and create new opportunities for merchants worldwide.
London Glorfield — London is a founder and creative strategist who’s built at the intersection of culture and product his entire career. A former RCA-signed artist, he previously ran a creative direction firm and a Squarespace-style software startup. He is currently reimagining consumer electronics with Kickback.world, a fashion-forward audio brand rooted in youth culture and design.
Maya Juchtman — Maya is a creative marketing strategist and partnerships leader known for blending brand storytelling with performance. As Senior Director of Marketing & Partnerships at Roswell NYC, a Webby Award–winning Shopify Plus agency, she’s helped brands like Brixton, Hyperlite, and Curious Elixirs scale through thoughtful strategy and standout campaigns. With a background in customer experience and leading brands through start-up to acquisition, she brings a human-first, culturally aware lens to every project, building community, driving growth, and pushing the boundaries of what digital marketing can be.
Sabir Semerkant — Sabir is the go-to eCommerce growth strategist, credited with over $1B in revenue for 200+ brands from Canon to Sour Patch Kids. Backed by Gary Vee and Neil Patel, Sabir’s Rapid 2X method delivers 2X growth in 12–18 months profitably. Since 2024, it’s powered 70+ brands across 17 industries with an average 108% lift. His Rapid 2X Protocol is the unfair advantage for any eCom brand with product–market fit, engineered to scale revenue and profit even in down markets. Want real talk? Sabir reveals why most brands will fail in 2025 and exactly how to make sure yours isn’t one of them.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Your Seller Fulfilled Prime (SFP) Eligibility Depends On Your Carrier’s OTD Performance
In this article
12 minutes
- Introduction to Amazon Seller Fulfilled Prime
- Enrollment and Eligibility
- What Changed in Amazon SFP
- The Carrier OTD Problem
- Why Sellers Can’t Just “Pick a Better Carrier”
- The Imbalance of Risk in SFP
- Merchant Fulfilled Network: The Backbone of SFP
- Strategies to Survive Carrier OTD Dependence
- Bigger Picture: Why This Matters Beyond Amazon
- Final Thoughts: The OTD Sword Hanging Over Sellers
- Frequently Asked Questions
Amazon has a cruel irony baked into Seller Fulfilled Prime (SFP). You can follow every rule, hit every ship-by deadline, and still lose your Prime badge. Why? Because SFP doesn’t ultimately measure you, it measures whether your carrier delivered on time. And if they don’t, you pay the price.
Amazon fulfillment includes both Fulfillment by Amazon (FBA) and Seller Fulfilled Prime (SFP), with SFP serving as an alternative to using Amazon’s fulfillment centers for order processing and shipping.
To understand how Seller Fulfilled Prime works, it’s important to know that Amazon sellers can choose between FBA and SFP, and third-party Amazon sellers play a key role in both programs. In SFP, sellers ship Prime orders directly from their own warehouse, provided they meet Amazon’s strict criteria for fast and reliable delivery.
Unlike Fulfillment by Amazon (FBA), where Amazon handles the entire fulfillment process, FBA sellers send inventory to Amazon’s fulfillment centers, where Amazon manages storage, picking, packing, and shipping. In SFP, the seller manages the fulfillment process themselves. This means that your performance metrics are directly tied to how well you and your chosen carrier execute each step.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyIntroduction to Amazon Seller Fulfilled Prime
Amazon Seller Fulfilled Prime (SFP) empowers third-party sellers to offer Prime shipping benefits directly from their own warehouses, without relying on Amazon’s fulfillment centers. By joining the seller fulfilled prime program, sellers can display the coveted Prime badge on their listings, signaling fast and free shipping to millions of Prime customers. This not only boosts visibility but also helps sellers gain access to Amazon’s loyal customer base and expand their sales channels.
To qualify for Amazon Seller Fulfilled Prime, sellers must meet strict criteria that reflect Prime customers’ expectations, such as rapid shipping, high order accuracy, and exceptional customer satisfaction. SFP sellers are responsible for managing their own fulfillment process, including inventory management and shipping, to ensure every Prime order meets Amazon’s high standards. Sellers who successfully complete the SFP trial period and maintain Prime status can enjoy increased sales, improved customer trust, and a stronger presence in the competitive Amazon marketplace. For many online businesses, Seller Fulfilled Prime offers a unique opportunity to control their fulfillment process while reaping the benefits of the Prime program.
Enrollment and Eligibility
Enrolling in the Seller Fulfilled Prime program requires careful preparation and a commitment to meeting Amazon’s demanding standards. To get started, sellers must have a professional selling account and a default shipping address within the United States. Once these prerequisites are met, sellers can configure their shipping settings in Seller Central to enable Prime shipping and ensure their offers reflect Prime customers’ expectations for speed and reliability.
During the SFP Trial Period, sellers must demonstrate their ability to consistently meet Amazon’s minimum performance requirements, including on-time delivery, valid tracking, and fast shipping speeds. Maintaining a high level of customer service and meeting Prime requirements is essential for keeping Prime status and avoiding removal from the program. Sellers should regularly review their shipping settings and monitor performance metrics to ensure they continue to meet the standards of the Seller Fulfilled Prime Program. By understanding and preparing for these requirements, sellers can position themselves for success and provide an outstanding experience to Prime customers.
What Changed in Amazon SFP
Amazon recently tightened the screws on SFP with updated rules:
- 93.5% weekly On-Time Delivery Rate (OTD) across all SFP orders
- 100 minimum shipments per month to even qualify
- Strict one- and two-day delivery promises across 48 states
- Minimum Product Detail Page Views by product size tier
- ≤ 0.5% Pre-fulfillment Cancellation Rate tracking Seller-cancelled orders
These rules represent the minimum performance requirements that sellers must meet and maintain to qualify for and retain the Prime badge. Maintaining prime status once eligibility is achieved is essential to ensuring you keep the Prime badge and all the associated benefits for your Prime listings.
If you fall short, even by a sliver, your Prime badge disappears until you claw back up. If you do not meet the requirements, the Prime badge displayed on your Prime listings and Prime items will be removed, significantly impacting your product visibility and sales. It’s no longer about doing “most” things right. It’s about perfection. But here’s the twist: perfection isn’t even in your hands.
The Carrier OTD Problem
Carriers control the final leg of delivery, and Amazon grades you on their performance. SFP sellers must ensure fast shipping speed and nationwide delivery coverage to meet Amazon’s requirements, which adds significant logistical complexity. You can hand off a package on time, scan it into the network, and still get burned if the carrier misses its truck cutoff, misroutes at a sortation center, or has a weather delay.
For sellers, this feels rigged. You’re being measured on someone else’s reliability. And unlike FBA, where Amazon absorbs the risk, (and doesn’t ding itself for late deliveries), SFP makes your business hostage to the carrier’s OTD. Many sellers use Amazon Buy Shipping services to purchase shipping labels, manage shipments, and track deliveries through Amazon’s approved carrier network, but you are still responsible for the final delivery metrics.
Imagine running 1,000 SFP shipments in a month. You hit 100% On-time Shipment. But UPS or FedEx delivers 60 late. That’s a 93.9% OTD, barely scraping the requirement. If they miss 70? You’re at 93.0%. Badge gone. Sales crater.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPWhy Sellers Can’t Just “Pick a Better Carrier”
Some might say: use better carriers. But Amazon’s OTD system doesn’t care about nuance. Even the best carriers have bad weeks. Peak season surges, labor strikes, and regional weather, these events sink OTD performance fast.
Carriers are incentivized to protect their own high-volume clients, not your handful of SFP parcels. And regional carriers often can’t cover Amazon’s two-day footprint. To participate in SFP, you must assign your SKUs to a prime shipping template within Seller Central, which enables your products for Prime shipping. That leaves you with UPS, FedEx, or USPS, and each has blind spots Amazon Shipping is rolling out as a 4th option in many regions, but it has its own limitations.
A flexible prime strategy is essential to adapt to carrier performance and ongoing delivery challenges.
The Imbalance of Risk in SFP
Amazon frames SFP as freedom: control your inventory, keep FBA fees at bay, win the Buy Box. SFP also allows sellers to manage their own storage space, potentially reducing overhead costs compared to FBA. But the risk transfer is brutal. You carry the cost of fast shipping and the accountability for late deliveries you didn’t cause. These fast shipping costs can significantly impact your profit margins, making it vital to carefully calculate all expenses to ensure your business remains profitable.
This is why SFP feels unsustainable for many sellers. You’re punished for variables beyond your control, while Amazon shields itself from customer disappointment by pointing to you.
Merchant Fulfilled Network: The Backbone of SFP
The Merchant Fulfilled Network (MFN) serves as the foundation of the Seller Fulfilled Prime program, allowing sellers to fulfill Prime orders directly from their own warehouse while maintaining control over the entire fulfillment process. Through MFN, sellers can leverage Amazon’s shipping services, such as Amazon Buy Shipping, to purchase shipping labels, track shipments, and ensure fast and free shipping for Prime customers. Sellers who want to fulfill orders from channels other than Amazon can consider Amazon Multi-Channel Fulfillment (MCF), which allows the use of Amazon logistics across diverse ecommerce platforms.
Participating in the merchant fulfilled network requires robust inventory management, reliable fulfillment capacity, and a commitment to meeting Amazon’s strict performance standards. Sellers must carefully manage shipping costs, maintain inventory visibility, and ensure their fulfillment process can handle the demands of Prime orders. By optimizing their fulfillment operations and leveraging the flexibility of MFN, sellers can expand their online business, fulfill orders efficiently, and maintain a competitive edge in the Prime program. However, success in SFP depends on the ability to balance fulfillment costs, meet customer expectations, and consistently deliver a Prime-worthy experience.
Strategies to Survive Carrier OTD Dependence
So how do you navigate this trap? There are a few imperfect strategies. First, evaluate different fulfillment options, such as SFP, FBA, and third-party logistics providers, to determine which best optimizes your delivery performance and meets Amazon’s requirements. Having a clear prime strategy is essential for optimizing your participation in Seller Fulfilled Prime, as it allows for continuous adjustments to meet Amazon’s evolving standards.
- Spread Volume Across Carriers: Don’t let a single carrier’s bad week wipe out your badge. Split shipments where it makes sense.
- Build Weekly Monitoring, Not Monthly: Amazon now enforces OTD weekly. Track performance in real-time, not at the end of the month.
- Negotiate Carrier SLAs (Good Luck): Some enterprise-level sellers can hold carriers to OTD service guarantees. But for most, leverage is thin.
- Use Third-Party Tools and Networks: Automated routing, peer-to-peer fulfillment, or SFP-optimized 3PLs can spread risk across regions and carriers. Selecting a reliable fulfillment partner is crucial to consistently meet Amazon’s strict delivery standards and maintain Prime eligibility.
- Maintain FBA as a Safety Valve: For high-stakes SKUs, keep backup inventory in FBA. Effective inventory management is essential when balancing stock between FBA and SFP to ensure Prime eligibility and avoid stockouts. Planning for seasonal demand is also critical to ensure product availability during peak periods and to optimize storage and shipping costs. Losing Prime visibility can crush sales overnight.
Participating in Seller Fulfilled Prime allows you to create seller fulfilled prime offers, giving you the advantage of maintaining the Prime Badge and offering fast, free shipping while managing your own fulfillment. As an SFP seller, you are responsible for meeting strict performance requirements, but you also gain greater control over your fulfillment process and can benefit from increased competitiveness in the marketplace.
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Explore Fulfillment NetworkBigger Picture: Why This Matters Beyond Amazon
This isn’t just about SFP. It’s a warning shot for ecommerce operators everywhere. As marketplaces push more accountability onto sellers, the margin for error shrinks. These challenges are highly relevant for anyone running an online business, especially third-party Amazon sellers, as fulfillment and logistics are critical to supporting growth and customer satisfaction.
The lesson: logistics performance is becoming a brand asset. Customers don’t see UPS or FedEx on the box. They see you. And if their package is late, they’ll blame you, not the carrier, not Amazon. Effectively managing customer service inquiries is also essential to maintain customer satisfaction and control over the sales process.
In other words: the weakest link in your supply chain isn’t optional. It’s existential. The competitive landscape for ecommerce is becoming more challenging as marketplaces continue to raise performance expectations.
Final Thoughts: The OTD Sword Hanging Over Sellers
Amazon has built SFP into an almost impossible standard. Sellers who want the Prime badge must first complete a Prime trial period, a 30-day window where they must meet strict Prime performance and shipping requirements to qualify for SFP. Even after qualifying, maintaining prime status is an ongoing challenge, as sellers must consistently adhere to Amazon’s high standards and performance metrics to retain the Prime badge. That’s not partnership, it’s risk transfer disguised as opportunity.
So the real question for sellers isn’t: can you hit the SFP metrics? It’s: can your carrier? And if not, what’s your Plan B when Amazon yanks your badge?
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the On-Time Delivery Rate (OTD) for SFP?
Amazon requires a 93.5% weekly OTD for all SFP shipments. Sellers must also maintain a low cancellation rate, specifically less than 0.5%, as high cancellation rates can jeopardize their Prime badge. This means carriers must successfully deliver nearly every package on time for sellers to keep their Prime badge.
How does Amazon calculate OTD for SFP?
Amazon tracks the promised delivery date vs. the carrier’s actual delivery scan. Even if you ship on time, the score reflects the carrier’s performance, not yours.
Can weather or carrier errors still hurt my SFP metrics?
Yes. Amazon doesn’t adjust for weather delays, misrouted packages, or carrier staffing shortages. Sellers are penalized for factors outside their control. Though more recently, Amazon announced that it, in its sole discretion, would exempt late deliveries due to weather conditions where they can verify that weather impacted carrier networks in a region. No Support Ticket necessary. But we’ve yet to see this in practice.
What happens if I miss the SFP OTD requirement?
If your OTD falls below the threshold, Amazon suspends your Prime badge. This usually results in an immediate drop in Buy Box wins and sales volume. Sellers must start over in the SFP Trial if they wish to re-attempt eligibility.
How can sellers protect themselves from OTD failures?
Options include diversifying carriers, tracking OTD performance weekly, using 3PLs with multi-carrier capacity, and keeping FBA inventory as a fallback for critical products.
Sellers should regularly monitor their performance metrics and manage SFP settings within Seller Central. Amazon Seller Central provides the most up-to-date information on SFP requirements and performance. To ensure you meet Prime delivery promises, configure shipping settings in Seller Central according to Amazon’s guidelines. Regularly reviewing and updating your shipping settings is essential to maintain Prime eligibility and optimize delivery performance.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Amazon Demand-Side Platform (DSP): The Future of Streaming TV and Digital Ads
I didn’t expect to wake up one day and think, “Wow, Amazon’s DSP is about to rewrite the ad playbook.” But here we are. As part of the broader Amazon Advertising ecosystem, Amazon’s Demand-Side Platform (DSP) is pulling ahead in a big way. Amazon’s Demand-Side Platform offers advanced, data-driven capabilities for targeted advertising, accessible to all advertisers. Amazon DSP stands out in the digital advertising landscape for its integration with Amazon’s data and its unique ability to reach audiences both on and off Amazon platforms.
Snapshot For Busy Brands
Amazon DSP ads aren’t just another channel; they’re a full-stack programmatic hub that lets you buy ad inventory across multiple platforms, including Amazon-owned properties and beyond. Think Prime Video, Fire TV, Amazon owned sites, Amazon owned websites, third party websites, audio, mobile apps, even CTV via Roku, as well as Amazon devices, all with Amazon’s data-rich targeting under the hood.
Amazon DSP offers a variety of ad formats and ad types, such as display, video, and audio ads, to reach customers at different stages of the journey. The platform provides access to premium ad placements and valuable ad space within a digital marketplace, maximizing your campaign’s reach and effectiveness. And ad spend on this thing is exploding.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyWhy Amazon’s DSP Is Surging
Let’s talk numbers: Amazon’s Q2 2025 advertising revenue hit $15.7 billion, a 22 percent year-over-year jump, far outpacing its core retail growth. Ad campaigns run through Amazon DSP have significantly contributed to this increase in ad revenue. Executives specifically credited DSP improvements and a new Roku-connected TV deal as major catalysts, noting measurable gains in campaign performance through enhanced targeting and reporting.
Early signs already show advertisers are doubling down. Prime Video ad buys made via DSP rose from 26 percent in Q3 2024 to 36 percent in Q4, and by late 2024, Amazon DSP accounted for 32 percent of all Amazon ad spend. Setting an appropriate marketing budget is crucial for Amazon DSP campaigns, as a minimum spend is often required to fully leverage its capabilities. For advertisers, new to brand sales have become a key metric when evaluating the impact of Prime Video ad buys through Amazon DSP.
Let me put it bluntly: Amazon is turning DSP into its playbook, for video, audio, programmatic display, streaming TV ads, you name it. Amazon DSP campaigns are now central to this shift. It’s cheaper on fees. It leans on unmatched first-party data. And it’s becoming the default for advertisers who want those data-driven, performance-rich hooks.
How Amazon DSP Works, And Where Your Ads Can Show Up
At its core, Amazon DSP is a tool for buying ad inventory through programmatic real-time bidding (RTB), same as other DSPs. This is a form of programmatic advertising that leverages ad exchanges and ad servers to automate and optimize the process of buying and selling digital ads. But it’s the panoramic advantage that matters:
- You can target based on Amazon’s shopper behaviors, purchase history, browsing intent, and even the detailed aisles they’ve wandered through. Amazon DSP enables advertisers to reach target audiences, relevant audiences, and existing audiences using advanced ad tech for precise segmentation and campaign optimization.
- Your ads appear across Amazon’s ecosystem, Prime Video, product detail pages, Fire TV, mobile browsers, and now across the open web via Amazon Publisher Services and other ad exchanges. This includes Amazon DSP inventory and a variety of ad products such as online video ads, audio ads, and sponsored display ads. Ad placements can be purchased through private marketplace deals and real-time bidding, allowing you to purchase ads and purchase ad inventory efficiently.
- The recent Roku integration means you can now reach over 80 million U.S. households using connected TVs via Roku and Fire TV, falling into Amazon’s DSP matrix. Available inventory also includes video content, audio ads, Amazon Music, IMDb TV, and STV ads, expanding your reach across streaming and audio platforms.
You can measure ad effectiveness using metrics like detail page view rate (DPVR), which shows how well your ads drive users to a product detail page or your own website via web browsers. Sponsored display, sponsored display ads, sponsored brands, and sponsored ads are also available within Amazon’s ecosystem, providing additional options for campaign strategy.
Bonus: Amazon’s Multi-Touch Attribution, just deployed, blends A/B tests with machine learning so you can see exactly which ad touchpoint nudged a shopper. That’s next-level measurement. Amazon Marketing Cloud and Amazon’s store provide advanced analytics, reporting, and shopping data to further inform your campaign decisions.
Whether your goal is to sell products or convert shoppers, Amazon DSP leverages purchase intent to help you reach the right ads at the right time. You can choose between managed service, where Amazon or a partner manages your campaigns, or self service, which allows you to control and optimize campaigns independently.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPGood News, Bad News, For Competitors
This isn’t happening in a vacuum. The Trade Desk (a big independent DSP) just took a historic 38 – 40 percent stock dip. Analysts were scared, this isn’t just earnings jitters, this is Amazon eating into CTV ad budgets, margins, and mindshare. Compared to other demand side platforms in the digital advertising space, The Trade Desk stands out for its independence and broad inventory access, but Amazon DSP’s unique integration and data advantages are shifting the landscape.
MoffettNathanson lowered TTD’s stock rating, explicitly citing Amazon DSP’s rise and the way it locks brands into its system, “the Amazon shadow… front and center.”
But, to be fair, Trade Desk hasn’t folded. Advertisers still lean on TTD for cross-channel reach, outside Amazon’s walled gardens. DSP budgets are often additive, not always siphoned off. And deep reporting and independence still matter, even as these shifts reshape the broader digital advertising ecosystem.
What This Means For Ecommerce And Retail Media Teams
Here’s where I make it practical:
Amazon DSP can transform your overall advertising strategy by enabling advanced targeting, measurement, and optimization across a wide range of ad products and inventory sources.
1. If you’re already advertising on Amazon, add DSP now. It’s where off-search, high-intent Amazon audiences live, and you can leverage a variety of ad products to reach and convert shoppers.
2. Want to run streaming TV ads? Amazon DSP with Roku gets you into lean-back moments, impressions that weren’t accessible a year ago. Choose the right ad types, ad formats, and ad placements to optimize your ad campaigns and reach your audience at every stage of the customer journey.
3. Lean on first-party data. DSP is built to use Amazon’s shopper behavior to laser-target people before they search for your next product. Use this data to deliver the right ads to the right audience, target purchase intent, and ultimately sell products more effectively.
4. Measure smarter. Use the new Multi-Touch Attribution to see what actually influenced the conversion, not just clicks. Track campaign performance closely to optimize results and enhance your advertising strategy.
5. Still value open-web reach? Bucket part of your budget away from DSP to independent DSPs like Trade Desk, but be smart about the split and performance layering.
Why This Matters
Amazon’s stacking ad inventory across its own sites, streaming platforms, and broad third-party placements is redefining where marketers spend digital ad dollars. Amazon is consolidating ad space and ad placements across its digital marketplace, streamlining how advertisers access and manage inventory. This shift is also impacting ad revenue for brands and agencies, as the new buying environment changes how returns are measured and optimized. For ecommerce brands, that means controlled shopping-inspired ad journeys. Agencies? It’s a giant shift in media buying workflows, with ad tech integration and a growing variety of ad products now available to support campaign management and targeting.
Whether DSP ends up dominating or just co-dominating, one thing’s clear: if you don’t fit into Amazon’s programmatic picture, you’re invisible to a growing share of the market.
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Explore Fulfillment NetworkFinal Thoughts
I’ve been watching Amazon’s DSP evolve for years, but this moment feels different. With recent gains in inventory access, better measurement tools, and sky-high ad growth, it’s no longer a fringe play; it’s core infrastructure for streaming TV ads, video, audio, and beyond.
Marketers who tap into DSP now, leveraging Amazon’s reach and data, while still balancing open-web strategies, are the ones reshaping how commerce and advertising converge in 2025.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does Amazon DSP differ from traditional Amazon ads?
Amazon DSP buys ad inventory via programmatic RTB (Real-Time Bidding) across Amazon’s ecosystem, and beyond, using audience data tied to real shopper behaviors.
Can I run streaming TV ads through Amazon DSP?
Yes. With partnerships like Roku and Fire TV, DSP now includes CTV placements across major streaming platforms.
What makes Amazon DSP competitive versus other DSPs?
Its access to first-party shopper data, exclusive inventory, competitive pricing, and enhanced attribution (like Multi-Touch Attribution) give it a performance edge.
Is The Trade Desk sinking because of Amazon DSP?
Trade Desk took a significant hit, analysts flagged Amazon DSP as a key threat. But many advertisers still value Trade Desk’s open-web reach and neutrality.
How should I allocate ad budget between Amazon DSP and independent DSPs?
Lean into DSP for Amazon-owned and streaming inventory, while reserving part of your budget for independent DSPs to maintain open-web presence and measurement balance.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Amazon Buy Box 2025 Update: New Rules and Strategies for Sellers
The Amazon Buy Box is the most valuable piece of digital real estate in ecommerce. More than 80% of Amazon sales happen through it, and for mobile purchases, the percentage is even higher. In 2025, winning the Buy Box isn’t just about the lowest price. Amazon’s algorithm weighs dozens of factors, from fulfillment method to seller performance, to determine which seller earns that coveted position.
For ecommerce businesses, understanding the latest Buy Box algorithm changes is no longer optional. Without Buy Box eligible status, sales stall. With it, sellers can boost sales, increase conversion rates, and gain credibility with Amazon shoppers. This guide breaks down what’s changed in 2025, what drives eligibility, and the exact strategies sellers need to master to stay competitive.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyWhy the Buy Box Matters More Than Ever
The Buy Box sits on every product detail page, presenting customers with the default “Add to Cart” or “Buy Now” option. For many sellers, it’s the single biggest driver of sales volume.
When your product listing is suppressed from the Buy Box, customers have to click “See All Buying Options” to find you, a step most shoppers won’t take. This is why a suppressed Buy Box can slash sales overnight.
In 2025, Amazon tightened its eligibility rules. Sellers need a professional seller account, consistent on-time shipping, valid tracking rates, and low negative feedback rates. Failing any of these metrics can push a seller out of eligibility, regardless of how competitive their price is.
Key Factors in the Amazon Buy Box Algorithm
Amazon’s Buy Box algorithm is a black box, but seller data and platform updates reveal what matters most. Here are the key factors that determine who wins:
1. Pricing Strategy
The Buy Box isn’t always about the absolute lowest price. Amazon calculates the landed price (product price plus shipping) and considers competitive external price benchmarks. If your price is significantly higher than on other sites, you risk Buy Box suppression. At the same time, pricing wars can erode profit margins, so balancing competitive pricing with sustainable margins is essential.
2. Fulfillment Method
FBA sellers (Fulfilled by Amazon) often have a natural advantage because Amazon controls shipping speed, tracking accuracy, and customer service. However, high-performance FBM sellers who provide fast shipping, accurate delivery dates, and excellent customer service can still compete effectively.
3. Seller Performance Metrics
Metrics like valid tracking rate, on-time delivery, order defect rate, and negative feedback rate directly influence Buy Box eligibility. Sellers with consistently high ratings and responsive customer service outperform those who cut corners.
4. Inventory Availability
Stockouts or inaccurate inventory updates hurt Buy Box performance. Amazon rewards sellers who keep items in stock and update their inventory tab accurately.
5. Customer Experience
From seller response time to packaging quality, customer experience is an increasingly important factor. Amazon prioritizes sellers who can notify customers quickly, resolve issues, and provide reliable delivery.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPWhat Changed in 2025?
Amazon introduced several updates that shifted Buy Box dynamics:
- Greater emphasis on customer feedback: The Buy Box algorithm now more heavily weights customer satisfaction, including positive feedback count and quick resolution of customer interactions.
- Suppressed Buy Box expansion: More listings now face suppressed Buy Boxes if Amazon deems pricing unfair compared to external sites.
- Fulfillment flexibility: Amazon has slightly opened the door for FBM sellers with excellent seller metrics, creating more opportunities for high-volume sellers outside FBA.
- Box rotations across sellers: Instead of a single seller dominating, Amazon rotates Buy Box winners more often when multiple sellers have similar metrics.
For ecommerce businesses, these changes make consistent seller performance and accurate pricing strategies even more critical.
Strategies to Win the Buy Box in 2025
1. Master Competitive Pricing
Use automated repricing tools to stay aligned with Amazon’s Buy Box algorithm. Avoid lowest price point manipulations that risk suppression. Instead, monitor competitive external prices and adjust dynamically.
2. Optimize Fulfillment
FBA remains the easiest route to eligibility, but FBM sellers can win with accurate shipping dates, fast delivery, and valid tracking rates. Offering multiple shipping options also helps.
3. Improve Seller Metrics
Seller performance is a long game. Focus on maintaining low negative feedback rates, improving customer response times, and hitting on-time shipping targets. High-performance sellers gain a competitive edge, even in saturated categories.
4. Manage Inventory Proactively
Ensure inventory availability across your store. Use detailed analytics and predictive tools to track sales volume, forecast demand, and avoid stockouts.
5. Enhance Customer Experience
Proactively engage customers, provide accurate shipping notifications, and resolve complaints quickly. Customer satisfaction and loyalty directly influence your eligibility.
The Risk of Pricing Wars
A common mistake sellers make is entering unsustainable pricing wars. While lowering prices may temporarily win the Buy Box, it often leads to suppressed profit margins and increased risk of account health issues. Instead, sellers should use pricing strategies that balance competitiveness with profitability.
Professional sellers who monitor profit margins alongside Amazon sales volume will have a long-term advantage over those focused only on price points.
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Explore Fulfillment NetworkBeyond the Buy Box: Driving Sales in 2025
Winning the Buy Box is critical, but it’s not the only way to increase sales. Amazon’s white box (when the Buy Box is suppressed but Amazon still displays a “See Buying Options” button) can still generate revenue if you have strong product listings, positive customer reviews, and competitive shipping.
Ecommerce businesses should also focus on:
- Improving product listings with SEO optimized content and accurate product descriptions.
- Running marketing campaigns that drive external traffic to Amazon.
- Using detailed analytics to evaluate performance and adjust strategies in real time.
Conclusion
In 2025, the Amazon Buy Box is harder to win but more valuable than ever. Sellers must balance pricing strategies, fulfillment methods, and seller performance metrics while avoiding suppressed Buy Box penalties.
For ecommerce businesses, the path forward is clear: adopt data-driven decisions, focus on customer experience, and implement strategies that drive long-term sales growth. The sellers who thrive will be those who master the Buy Box algorithm without falling into the trap of endless pricing wars.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does it mean to be Buy Box eligible?
Buy Box eligibility means a seller meets Amazon’s minimum standards for performance metrics, shipping reliability, and professional seller account status. Without eligibility, you cannot win the Buy Box.
How does pricing affect the Buy Box?
Amazon considers landed price and competitive external price benchmarks. While the lowest price can help, unsustainably low pricing or mismatched prices across platforms can suppress the Buy Box entirely.
Can FBM sellers win the Buy Box?
Yes. While FBA sellers often have an advantage, FBM sellers with fast shipping, valid tracking, and excellent customer feedback can still win.
Why is my Buy Box suppressed?
Common reasons include unfair pricing compared to other platforms, poor seller performance metrics, or inventory stockouts. Suppressed Buy Box status means customers won’t see your listing as the default purchase option.
How can I improve my chances of winning the Buy Box?
Maintain strong seller metrics, use automated pricing tools, ensure inventory availability, and provide excellent customer service. Combining these strategies with a competitive fulfillment method gives you the best chance to win.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue

Amazon DSP Program Success: How to Start and Grow Your Delivery Business
In this article
12 minutes
- The Appeal of Running Your Own Amazon Delivery Business
- Getting Started: Costs, Requirements, and Application Process
- What Amazon Provides: Support and Tools for DSP Owners
- The Reality Check: Day-to-Day Operations and Challenges
- Tips for Success as a DSP Owner
- Conclusion: Is the Amazon DSP Path Right for You?
- Frequently Asked Questions
The Appeal of Running Your Own Amazon Delivery Business
I remember when I first heard about the Amazon DSP program (Delivery Service Partner program). The idea was instantly intriguing: start your own delivery business, deliver Amazon packages, and get Amazon’s backing in terms of volume and support. For aspiring entrepreneurs, especially those eyeing the logistics industry, it sounded almost too good to be true. You get to tap into Amazon’s vast shipping demand and logistics tools, but still effectively run your own business. No need to build a customer base from scratch; Amazon is your customer, feeding you packages to deliver. Over 4,400 small businesses have already signed up as DSPs since the program launched in 2018, creating 390,000 driving jobs and generating $58 billion in revenue collectively. Those numbers are huge, and they show Amazon’s delivery network isn’t just UPS trucks and USPS mailmen; it’s thousands of independent owners like us driving the blue Prime vans around town.
Amazon continues to disrupt every sector it touches, and last-mile delivery is no exception. By recruiting small business owners to operate delivery fleets, Amazon has quickly built a logistics operation that rivals UPS and FedEx in parcel volume. (In fact, as of 2024, Amazon was delivering roughly 28% of all US parcels, surpassing FedEx and UPS by volume!) They’ve essentially crowdsourced their own private UPS, and as a result, people like you and me have an opportunity to own a delivery business without needing to court customers or create demand. Amazon provides a giant built-in market.
But let’s cut to the chase: What does it actually take to become an Amazon DSP and run a package delivery business? What are the costs, the requirements, the day-to-day realities? Is it true you can start with as little as $10,000 and make a good profit, as Amazon’s marketing suggests? I’ve done the research and even spoken to a few DSP owners. Here’s what I’ve learned about launching and growing a delivery company under the Amazon DSP umbrella.
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I'm Interested in Saving Time and MoneyGetting Started: Costs, Requirements, and Application Process
One of the biggest draws of Amazon’s Delivery Service Partner program is the relatively low startup costs compared to, say, buying a franchise or starting a logistics company from scratch. Amazon advertises that you can start with as little as $10,000 in initial investment. That number is real, but it’s important to understand what it covers. Essentially, Amazon has negotiated deals on things like van leases, insurance, fuel, and uniforms. By taking advantage of those discounts, your upfront outlay to get, for example, 5 vans on the road can be around $10K. (In contrast, starting an independent delivery biz with 5 vehicles could easily cost several times that once you factor in buying/financing vehicles, etc.)
However, you also need to show you have enough liquid assets to sustain the business as it ramps up. Amazon requires proof of around $30,000 in liquid assets available. This is essentially a financial cushion; you might not spend all that, but Amazon wants to ensure you can pay your drivers and other expenses while cash flow builds. It’s a bit like proving you have some savings to handle the first few months of operation. They’ll do a financial assessment as part of the application.
Speaking of the application, Amazon’s process is quite involved (as it should be, since they’re trusting you with their reputation and packages). Here are the key steps and requirements:
- Background and Experience: You’ll need to submit a thorough application, including your work history, education, and any military service. Leadership experience is a big plus; Amazon is looking for people who can coach and motivate a team, handle scheduling, and problem-solve on the fly. Interestingly, logistics experience specifically is not required. Many DSP owners come from totally unrelated fields (banking, hospitality, etc.). But you do need a track record of leading teams or running projects; they want to see that you can manage 40 – 100 employees as your delivery team grows.
- Clean Background and Good Credit: There will be background checks and likely credit checks. Since you’ll be hiring drivers who handle packages, any red flags (e.g., serious criminal history) can disqualify you. Financial responsibility is also key because you’ll be handling payroll and expenses.
- Initial Screening and Interview: After the online application and assessments, promising candidates are invited to an interview. They want to gauge your understanding of the program and commitment. If selected, you don’t immediately get a delivery territory; you get placed into their pool to match with a delivery station location in need of new DSPs. You can express location preferences, but you may have to be flexible or wait for an opening.
- Training: Once accepted, Amazon provides two weeks of hands-on training. This includes a week at Amazon HQ or a regional facility learning the business side, and another week shadowing an existing DSP at a delivery station to learn the ropes. They cover everything from using their route optimization software to managing drivers. Amazon really emphasizes safety and process adherence in this training.
- Business Setup: You’ll establish your company (if you haven’t already), get any necessary licenses, and set up things like a commercial driver hiring pipeline, etc. Amazon assists in some of these areas. For example, they have recruiting tools to help you hire drivers and can even refer candidates. They want you to hit the ground running.
It’s worth noting Amazon also had (as of a couple of years ago) a Diversity Grant initiative: a $1 million fund that offered $10,000 for Black, Latinx, and Native American entrepreneurs towards startup costs. This was their effort to reduce barriers for underrepresented business owners. There was a bit of legal controversy around it (some non-minority applicants challenged it), but Amazon was pushing it as part of diversifying the DSP network. If you qualify, it’s something to look into; essentially, it could cover that initial $10K investment for you.
What Amazon Provides: Support and Tools for DSP Owners
Signing on as a DSP, you’re not buying a traditional franchise, but Amazon does act sort of like a franchisor in terms of setting standards and providing a playbook. Here’s what Amazon brings to the table for Delivery Service Partners:
- A Steady Volume of Packages: This is arguably the biggest perk. Amazon is your client, and they have more packages than they know what to do with. They’ll assign you routes each day for deliveries in your area. You don’t have to go find customers or drum up business; Amazon is essentially guaranteeing demand. If anything, the challenge is hiring enough drivers to handle all the demand, especially during Peak season (holidays).
- Logistics Technology: Amazon equips DSPs with its delivery management tech. This includes the route optimization software (the drivers use an app that maps out their route in the most efficient way, and it’s dynamically updated), scanning devices, GPS trackers in vans, etc. They also give DSP owners access to a central portal that shows all their routes, packages, performance metrics (delivery times, success rates, etc.), basically your business dashboard. It’s a turnkey tech platform many small businesses could never afford to develop on their own. Amazon’s logistics tools are best-in-class, and you get them by default as part of the program.
- Deals on Vehicles and Equipment: Instead of you having to buy vans outright, Amazon has negotiated vehicle lease programs. You lease Amazon-branded vans (the blue Prime vans) at favorable rates. Maintenance is included in many cases. They’ve also arranged bulk pricing on things like the handheld devices drivers use, uniforms, insurance, fuel, and even things like route planning software subscriptions if needed. These special rates on start-up equipment, devices, and insurance help reduce ongoing costs.
- Training and Ongoing Support: As mentioned, initial training is provided. But it doesn’t stop there. They have account managers or business coaches who will check in on your performance and help you succeed. There’s also a built-in support line, sort of like DSP support, for when issues arise (for example, if a van breaks down or you have routing problems, you have an on-demand support hotline). Amazon provides standardized processes for everything, which is helpful when you’re new. They even give you a DSP Toolkit with guides on HR, recruiting, scheduling, and “best practices” from their highest-performing DSPs.
- Payments and Incentives: Amazon pays DSPs per route/stop, etc., based on a contract rate. They also have performance-based incentives. For instance, if you hit certain delivery success metrics or safety milestones, you can earn bonuses or higher payouts. Amazon recently invested an additional $2.1 billion in rate increases and program enhancements to help DSPs with higher wages and vehicle costs. They know that if DSPs aren’t profitable, the whole program fails, so they adjust pay periodically (like a fuel subsidy when gas prices spike, or higher per-package rates in competitive labor markets).
In short, Amazon sets you up with the infrastructure: you have the vans, packages, software, and a playbook. Your job is essentially to hire and manage a team of reliable delivery drivers (called Delivery Associates or DAs) and execute the deliveries efficiently while meeting Amazon’s performance standards.
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Get My Free 3PL RFPThe Reality Check: Day-to-Day Operations and Challenges
Running an Amazon DSP business is not an absentee-owner situation. Amazon expects hands-on owners who are deeply involved in day-to-day operations, especially at the start. Many successful DSP owners I’ve spoken with basically lived and breathed the operation in the early months: sorting packages at 6 am, dispatching vans, riding along on routes to learn the ropes, etc. Here’s a taste of the day-to-day and the challenges that come with it:
- Early Mornings and Route Planning: A typical day might start before dawn at the delivery station. Amazon staff will have sorted packages for your routes, but you (and maybe a hired dispatcher) will oversee loading. Each morning, you ensure each driver has their truck loaded with the right bags of packages, their device is working, and they understand their route. This can be a hectic phase; if someone calls in sick last minute, you might jump in to deliver or reassign routes on the fly.
- Managing Drivers: Expect to hire 40 – 100 delivery associates as you grow (a lot of routes run 7 days a week, so you have multiple shifts). Hiring and retention can be some of the toughest parts. The delivery driver role is physically demanding, with lots of walking, carrying boxes, driving all day, and turnover can be high. Some DSP owners report annual turnover rates north of 100% among drivers, meaning you might be constantly recruiting. One anecdote: a DSP owner mentioned they went through 150 – 200 drivers in a year due to turnover. Keeping drivers motivated and maintaining a good culture is crucial. Amazon monitors things like how fast and safely drivers are delivering, so you need to train and emphasize safety (no running to doors, even if you’re behind schedule, etc.).
- Performance Metrics (aka The Scorecard): Amazon tracks your business metrics closely; this is often referred to as your DSP scorecard. Key metrics include your delivery success rate (packages delivered on time without issues), driver safety incidents, complaints, and things like route completion rates. For example, they have targets for on-time delivery rate and valid tracking rate (you must scan every package) that you must meet. Also, keeping a low missed delivery rate and low customer complaints (those “this package was handled poorly” feedback) is important. If your metrics slip, Amazon can issue warnings, require action plans, or, in extreme cases, terminate your DSP contract. So, there’s pressure to perform consistently. It’s not just about finishing the day’s routes; it’s about doing so at a high service level.
- Long Hours and Problem Solving: As an owner, you’ll find yourself tackling unexpected problems. A van gets a flat tire. Who goes to help? (Often, you will, or you have a contingency van ready.) A driver can’t deliver a package because of a gated apartment complex. How can you train them for next time? Inclement weather, holiday volume spikes, and tech glitches with the routing app, a DSP owner has to be a chief firefighter of all such issues. During the Peak holiday season, expect to practically live at the station. It’s not uncommon to work 10-12-hour days during busy periods. Many owners do get to a point where they can delegate day-to-day to a station manager they hire, but initially, expect to hustle.
- Narrow Margins: Amazon sets the delivery rates, and while they aim to make it profitable, your margins per package can be slim after you pay driver wages, fuel, vehicle leases, insurance, etc. Efficient routing and keeping overtime low are key to making money. Some DSP owners mention that profit can be around $75K – $300K annually once scaled up, but results vary widely. If you’re in an area with higher labor costs or if you run into a lot of vehicle damage, it cuts into profit. Conversely, if you operate super efficiently (low turnover, minimal accidents, high stop count per route), you can do well. But this isn’t a get-rich-quick gig; it’s a medium-sized business with real expenses. (I always tell folks: don’t quit your day job expecting to clear six figures in Year 1; build up your operation first.)
- Autonomy vs. Rules: It’s “your” business, but Amazon sets many rules. You have to follow Amazon’s protocols for delivery (from how drivers buckle packages in their vans to how they ring a customer’s doorbell). They also dictate branding, your vans carry Amazon Prime logos, and drivers wear Amazon uniforms. You can implement your own culture and perks for employees, but the overarching guidelines are Amazon’s. Some entrepreneurs chafe at this because you are somewhat limited in making independent decisions (for instance, you can’t decide to deliver for other companies on the side; your contract typically ties you to Amazon packages only). Think of it as being an independent contractor in a very structured system.
All that said, many DSP owners find the work rewarding. A common sentiment: “It’s incredibly challenging, but I love being able to grow something and provide jobs.” For example, a DSP owner named Carlecia (featured on Amazon’s blog) started in 2022 and now employs 120 people across two stations. She talks about the pride of providing livelihoods and giving back to her community through the program. So, there’s a real opportunity to have a positive impact locally while riding on Amazon’s logistics might.
Tips for Success as a DSP Owner
If you’re serious about taking on an Amazon delivery business opportunity, here are some strategies and insights gleaned from those who have done it:
1. Hire Smart, Train Hard: Your drivers are your business. Prioritize hiring people who are reliable and customer-friendly. Use Amazon’s recruiting support, but also get creative, tap local job fairs, refer-a-friend bonuses for your current drivers, etc. Once hired, train them thoroughly on the routes, the scanner device, and Amazon’s expectations (like on-time delivery standards and safety reminders such as not backing up unnecessarily, wearing seatbelts, dog bite prevention, etc.). Well-trained drivers will be more efficient and make fewer mistakes (which keeps your Amazon scorecard healthy).
2. Create a Positive Team Culture: Delivery work is tough. Little things can keep morale up, providing water and snacks for drivers, recognizing top performers, and celebrating hitting milestones (like 100% delivery day or safety streaks). Some DSPs do morning huddles with a quick motivational talk or shout-outs. If you treat drivers as valued team members rather than package-hauling machines, you’ll reduce turnover. Also, be open to their feedback; the folks on the road often have ideas to improve routing or efficiency.
3. Keep an Eye on Efficiency Metrics: Use Amazon’s provided dashboards to monitor your performance goals daily. Watch your route completion times, package consolidation (are vans leaving with under-loaded capacity?), and any “failed delivery” reasons. By analyzing this data, you can spot trends, for example, if one route or driver consistently runs behind, maybe the route is too large or there’s a traffic issue you can reroute around. Small tweaks can save you overtime costs and improve your stops per hour. Amazon loves efficiency, and higher productivity can sometimes lead to Amazon offering you more routes (more routes = more revenue).
4. Safety First (It Pays Off): Amazon is pretty strict about safety, for good reason. Accidents or injuries are bad for everyone. Enforce the safety training points: drivers should take breaks, avoid rushing, and follow all protocols (like using a delivery cart for heavy packages, dog awareness, etc.). Not only will this avoid the nightmare of someone getting hurt, but Amazon’s incentives often reward safe operations. For instance, keeping a low accident rate and high compliance might qualify you for quarterly bonuses or better route assignments. Some DSPs even incorporate a daily quick safety tip in their morning meet-ups to keep it top of mind.
5. Plan for Peak Season Early: The November-December surge (and to a lesser extent, Prime Day or other big sales) will push your operation to its limits. Plan ahead, start recruiting seasonal drivers by late summer, secure extra vans if possible, and maybe have administrative staff or yourself ready to jump in on delivery routes when volume peaks. It’s common for DSP owners to deliver packages themselves during Peak to handle overflow. If you plan well and communicate expectations to your team (yes, there will be long days, yes, everyone works most days in December), you can get through it and even enjoy the challenge. Amazon often pays extra incentives during Peak due to the intensity, so a well-run Peak can significantly boost your annual profit.
6. Network with Other DSPs: Amazon hosts an online forum and occasional meet-ups for DSP owners. Use these to your advantage. Other DSPs aren’t your direct competitors (they operate in their own territories), and they can be gold mines for advice. They’ll share tips on everything from which route optimization tricks work best to how to handle a driver who consistently calls out. I’ve seen DSP owners help each other by loaning vans in a pinch or covering routes if one had a crisis. Being part of the community also keeps you in the loop if Amazon updates policies or makes changes to the program.
Running an Amazon DSP can definitely become a thriving small business if managed well. Amazon’s VP of delivery operations often says they want DSP owners who are “obsessed with customer experience and their people.” That seems to ring true: focus on reliably getting packages to customers on time (making Amazon look good) and focus on keeping your employees happy. That formula, backed by Amazon’s demand and resources, is a path to success in the program.
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Explore Fulfillment NetworkConclusion: Is the Amazon DSP Path Right for You?
The Amazon delivery service partner program is an innovative model: Amazon leverages local entrepreneurs to expand its delivery reach, and those entrepreneurs get a shot at business ownership in a booming sector. It’s not a guaranteed money-printing machine (anyone who thinks they’ll just hire a manager and sit back should think again). It requires hustle, resilience, and adaptability. You’re dealing with humans (drivers, customers) and a tech giant’s systems, both can be unpredictable at times! But if you put in the effort, you can build a solid operation with stable revenue.
To sum it up, the DSP program offers a relatively accessible way to own a delivery business for those who have leadership chops and a willingness to work within Amazon’s framework. You don’t need to be a logistics expert or come with a fleet of trucks; Amazon provides the playbook and the packages. Your job is to execute with excellence. Many small business owners have used this program to become employers in their community, create hundreds of jobs, and yes, make a good living in the process. They’ve shown that with grit and smart management, you can successfully run an Amazon delivery business.
Like any business, there are risks: thin margins, high turnover, and the fact that Amazon can change the rules or pricing (their recent changes to the contract rates and the end of the de minimis shipping exemption show the environment can shift). However, Amazon has a vested interest in DSPs succeeding; they need you to deliver their packages. As Amazon keeps growing its ecommerce dominance, the volume of packages isn’t slowing down; if anything, there’s more demand for delivery routes every year. That bodes well for DSPs who run efficient operations.
In the end, whether the DSP program is right for you comes down to your personal goals and management style. If you enjoy hands-on operations, don’t mind rolling up your sleeves (or driving the occasional van yourself), and get satisfaction from meeting targets and growing a team, it could be a great fit. It’s a chance to ride on Amazon’s growth while still being your own boss day-to-day. Just go in with eyes open, realistic expectations, and a strong work ethic. Starting a delivery business through Amazon isn’t easy money, but for many, it’s proving to be good money and a pretty exciting ride in the process.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do I become an Amazon Delivery Service Partner?
Apply through the Amazon DSP program site, show $30K in liquid assets, pass background checks, complete training, and launch with Amazon-provided routes and vans.
How much does it cost to start a DSP business?
Startup costs begin at around $10K with Amazon-negotiated discounts. You’ll also need $30K in liquid assets to cover wages, fuel, and early operating expenses.
Can I make a profit as a DSP owner?
Yes. Profits for scaled DSPs typically range from $75K to $300K annually, depending on fleet size, route efficiency, and meeting Amazon’s performance metrics.
What’s the difference between Amazon DSP and Flex?
DSP is running a delivery business with employees and Amazon vans. Flex is gig work, where drivers use their own cars for smaller deliveries and work as independent contractors.
What support does Amazon provide DSP owners?
Amazon offers training, coaching, routing software, performance dashboards, discounts on vans and insurance, guaranteed package volume, and 24/7 operational support.

Turn Returns Into New Revenue
